2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
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Market pricing makes Jean-Luc Mélenchon the favorite at 96% across 46 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
All further outcomes (16 more):
Clémentine Autain · Nicolas Dupont-Aignan · Michel Barnier · Valérie Pécresse · François Bayrou · Élisabeth Borne · Yaël Braun-Pivet · Jean Castex · Gérald Darmanin · Carole Delga · Bernard Cazeneuve · Manuel Bompard · Mathilde Panot · Sarah Knafo · Sébastien Lecornu · Jean-Michel Fauvergue
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
"I have never ruled out any possibility, including that of a primary," says Gabriel Attal, Renaissance candidate for the presidential election.
"I want the French to believe that their children and grandchildren will have a better life than they did," says Gabriel Attal, Renaissance candidate for the presidential election.
LIVE
Presidential election: Gabriel Attal declares he "never ruled out" a primary
"There is no longer a clear favorite against the extremes," says Gabriel Attal, Renaissance candidate for the presidential election.
2027 Presidential Election: "I want to be a candidate," Dominique de Villepin reveals more of himself and accuses Philippe of "playing into Le Pen's hands" on immigration
Live: #POLITICS The candidacy of Socialist Party (PS) First Secretary Olivier Faure in the left-wing primary for the presidential election will "finally clarify everything," said MEP Raphaël...
"I'm fighting for it": Dominique de Villepin confirms his intention to "be a candidate" in the presidential election and claims to have "several hundred endorsements"
"I'm fighting for it": Dominique de Villepin confirms his intention to "be a candidate" in the presidential election and claims to have "several hundred endorsements"
2027 Presidential Election: "I want to be a candidate, I'm fighting to be a candidate," says Dominique de Villepin, former Prime Minister
LIVE
Presidential election: Dominique de Villepin says he "wants to be a candidate" and that he has "several hundred endorsements"
Presidential election 2027: Olivier Faure a candidate in the primary organized by the Socialist Party and Place Publique
Olivier Faure, candidate in the left-wing primary
LIVE
Presidential election: Michaël Delafosse, Socialist mayor of Montpellier, announces his support for Raphaël Glucksmann in the left-wing primary
Presidential election 2027: the first secretary of the Socialist Party, Olivier Faure, will be a candidate in the left-wing primary
Presidential election: Olivier Faure will announce his candidacy for the left-wing primary ahead of 2027
Presidential election: Socialist Party leader Olivier Faure will announce his candidacy for the left-wing primary ahead of 2027
Presidential election: Socialist Party leader Olivier Faure will announce his candidacy for the left-wing primary in preparation for 2027
BREAKING NEWS
Presidential election: Olivier Faure will announce his candidacy for the left-wing primary ahead of 2027
Presidential election 2027: The First Secretary of the Socialist Party, Olivier Faure, will run in the left-wing primary
Live: Olivier Faure, First Secretary of the Socialist Party, will announce his candidacy for the left-wing primary in preparation for 2027
LIVE. 2027 Presidential Election: Edouard Philippe in Tourcoing, Laurent Wauquiez in Haute-Loire... Follow this Sunday's political comeback
LIVE. 2027 Presidential Election: Edouard Philippe in Tourcoing, Laurent Wauquiez in Haute-Loire... Follow this Sunday's political comeback
LIVE
Presidential election: Laurent Wauquiez expected at Mont Mézenc for his political comeback
Presidential election 2027: "No French bank" wants to finance the campaign, declares Jordan Bardella, president of the National Rally
Presidential election 2027: primaries, pensions, the 1968 agreement with Algeria... In Sens, François Hollande tests his chances against Édouard Philippe
Presidential election 2027: primaries, pensions, the 1968 agreement with Algeria... In Sens, François Hollande tests his chances against Édouard Philippe
BFMTV POLL
2027 Presidential Election: Marine Le Pen wins in all scenarios, Édouard Philippe well-positioned to qualify for the second round
Presidential election 2027: "There will be no moratorium on labor immigration, which we need," argues Édouard Philippe
LIVE
According to Jordan Bardella, Marine Le Pen is the "natural candidate" of the National Rally in the presidential election
Live: For Jordan Bardella, Marine Le Pen is the "natural candidate" of the National Rally in the presidential election
What is this event about?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.