2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Open46as of
Market pricing makes Jean-Luc Mélenchon the favorite at 94% across 46 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Éric Zemmour81%
All further outcomes (16 more):
Manuel Bompard · Mathilde Panot · Sarah Knafo · Sébastien Lecornu · Jean-Michel Fauvergue · Nathalie Arthaud · Delphine Batho · Jérôme Guedj · Karim Bouamrane · Michel-Edouard Leclerc · Manuel Valls · Teddy Riner · Matthieu Pigasse · Juan Branco · Philippe de Villiers · Bally Bagayoko
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Jean-Luc Mélenchon, the La France Insoumise candidate for the presidential election, is in one of the two Parisian marches
As the 2027 presidential election approaches, Marine Le Pen continues to build her campaign team and has appointed Marine Hamelet as spokesperson on child protection. We wish her every success in her mission! 🏻 Join the campaign:
Live: #HIGHSCHOOLS The LFI presidential candidate, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, is present in the Parisian procession, with several of his lieutenants, such as MPs Manuel Bompard or Paul Vannier.
2027 Presidential Election: "It's violent," Valérie Trierweiler warns Léa Salamé after Raphaël Glucksmann's primary victory
"I don't believe Édouard Philippe is capable of leading the country well," reacted David Lisnard, mayor of Cannes and "New Energy" candidate for the 2027 presidential election.
2027 Presidential Election: François Hollande calls for a "union" that is not limited to "socialists alone"
Presidential election 2027: François Hollande calls for a "union" that is not limited to "socialists alone"
Live: After his primary victory, Raphaël Glucksmann wants to "put an end to the political hegemony of the brutals over the French left"
2027 Presidential Election - "It's this or Greece...": Bruno Retailleau promises austerity measures of €197 billion in savings
2027 Presidential Election: After the Primary, Raphaël Glucksmann faces the arduous challenge of uniting
2027 Presidential Election: From Ceuta, Jordan Bardella details the National Rally's proposals on immigration with the Spanish far right
Presidential election 2027: Faced with the "financial powder keg", Bruno Retailleau promises savings of nearly 197 billion euros
That's 40% more than the target set by Marine Le Pen: Bruno Retailleau promises savings of nearly €200 billion by 2032.
Live: #POLITICS The LR presidential candidate Bruno Retailleau unveils a savings plan of 197 billion euros "until 2032", which, according to him, would allow the public deficit to fall below 3% as early as 2031 "...
France: Glucksmann to run for Socialist presidential election
Presidential election 2027. Raphaël Glucksmann wins the left-wing primary: "The choice is clear"
LIVE - 2027 Presidential Election: Raphaël Glucksmann launches "an appeal to all ecologist, humanist, and republican citizens" to join him
LIVE
2027 Presidential Election: Marine Le Pen still far ahead in the first round according to a poll, Jean-Luc Mélenchon qualified in every scenario
LIVE
2027 Presidential Election: Raphaël Glucksmann, the clear winner of the Socialist primary, declares that "the democratic left is back"
Live: Raphaël Glucksmann officially nominated as the PS-Place publique candidate
RTL POLL - 2027 Presidential Election: Heading towards a Le Pen-Mélenchon duel, the Bardella affair has no effect on RN voting intentions
Presidential election 2027: Raphaël Glucksmann, winner of the left-wing primary, faces the challenge of mobilizing the social-democratic family for the battle
Eurodeputy Raphael Glucksmann was on Sunday elected the centre-left candidate for next year's French presidential elections, winning comfortably in the first round, organizers of the vote said. • •
Live: And here's the latest news of the day: #PRESIDENTIAL The leader of Place Publique, Raphaël Glucksmann, was widely designated as the social-democratic left's candidate for the presidential election, right from the first round...
Raphaël Glucksmann overwhelmingly elected as the social-democratic left-wing candidate for the presidential election
Raphaël Glucksmann officially a candidate, a "clear direction" and some grey areas
Raphael Glucksmann elected centre-left French presidential candidate
Raphaël Glucksmann wins the Social Democratic primary: former President François Hollande congratulated the winner via message
Raphaël Glucksmann's victory in the Social Democratic primary: the reaction of Marine Tondelier, the Green Party candidate for the presidential election
Presidential election 2027: Jean-Luc Mélenchon promises to abolish the "ignominy" of Parcoursup before a packed hall in Clermont-Ferrand
What is this event about?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.