2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?Dominique de Villepin

OpenVol$13KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 32% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES32¢
NO69¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

YESlefigaro.fr98%match31¢+3%
2027 Presidential Election: "I want to be a candidate," Dominique de Villepin reveals more of himself and accuses Philippe of "playing into Le Pen's hands" on immigration
YESFrench Media95%match31¢+3%
"I'm fighting for it": Dominique de Villepin confirms his intention to "be a candidate" in the presidential election and claims to have "several hundred endorsements"
YESbfmtv.com95%match31¢+3%
"I'm fighting for it": Dominique de Villepin confirms his intention to "be a candidate" in the presidential election and claims to have "several hundred endorsements"
YESFrench Media98%match31¢+3%
2027 Presidential Election: "I want to be a candidate, I'm fighting to be a candidate," says Dominique de Villepin, former Prime Minister
YESFrench Media96%match31¢+3%
LIVE Presidential election: Dominique de Villepin says he "wants to be a candidate" and that he has "several hundred endorsements"
YESbfmtv.com98%match34¢-6%
Presidential election: Dominique de Villepin reiterates his "determination" for 2027 and calls for "unity" to "avoid the worst"
NOFrench Media99%match61¢+11%
Présidentielle 2027: "Je ne suis pas candidat déclaré", annonce Dominique de Villepin, ancien Premier ministre

Where does the news lean?

8YES2NO2neutraltrailing 24h

Signal flow leans YES at 54% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.

What would make this resolve YES?

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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