2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?Gabriel Attal

OpenVol$11KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 27% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES27¢
NO73¢

24h+62 ptsas of

What moved the odds?

15 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

YESFrench Media94%match27¢
"If the National Rally wins, you'll see more of La France Insoumise," says Gabriel Attal, Renaissance candidate in the presidential election.
YESbfmtv.com97%match28¢-4%
Live: Gabriel Attal, future Prime Minister under Édouard Philippe? "I am a candidate in the presidential election," he replies.
YESFrench Media98%match27¢
Presidential election 2027: "I don't want to be just another candidate who blocks elections," asserts Gabriel Attal
YESfranceinfo.fr97%match39¢-31%
Live: #PRESIDENTIELLE #SECHERESSE En campagne pour l'élection présidentielle de 2027, Gabriel Attal fait campagne sur le thème de la protection de la ressource en eau, à Argelès-sur-Mer (Pyrénées-Orientales)...
YESbfmtv.com98%match37¢-27%
Presidential election 2027: Gabriel Attal promises "the biggest institutional reform since 1958" if elected
YESlesechos.fr98%match33¢-18%
Presidential election 2027: Gabriel Attal, a "challenger" campaigning all summer
YESFrench Media97%match30¢-10%
Présidentielle 2027: Gabriel Attal annonce un "grand meeting" à Lyon le 10 octobre •
YESbfmtv.com97%match30¢-10%
Présidentielle 2027: Gabriel Attal annonce un "grand meeting" à Lyon le 10 octobre
YESlefigaro.fr97%match31¢-13%
Présidentielle 2027 : Gabriel Attal annonce un «grand meeting» à Lyon le 10 octobre
YESbfmtv.com99%match39¢-31%
BFMTV DOCUMENT. 2027 Presidential Election: Gabriel Attal denounces Marine Le Pen's legal situation in a leaflet and presents himself as the candidate of the "new generation"
YESFrench Media98%match31¢-13%
LIVE 2027 Presidential Election: Gabriel Attal accuses Marine Le Pen of "putting pressure" on the Court of Cassation and "holding hostage" the campaign with "the same rhetoric as Donald Trump"
YESFrench Media99%match42¢-36%
Presidential candidate Gabriel Attal, running in the 2027 election, is proposing a voluntary redundancy plan to reduce the number of civil servants by 100,000, "without absolute brutality" #BFM2
YESFrench Media99%match42¢-36%
Heatwave: "The urgent priority is to do everything possible to cool down France," says Gabriel Attal, presidential candidate #BFM2
YESFrench Media99%match39¢-31%
Presidential election 2027: Renaissance calls on Gabriel Attal to run for office
NOFrench Media99%match60¢+22%
Presidential election 2027: the popularity ratings of Édouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau and Gérald Darmanin are declining, according to a poll

Where does the news lean?

25YES1NO7neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.

What would make this resolve YES?

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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See all outcomes for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.

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