2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?Gérald Darmanin
Open$5Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 5% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES5¢
NO95¢
as of
What moved the odds?
9 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Live: #POLITICS During his political comeback in Tourcoing (Nord), Gérald Darmanin justified his support for Édouard Philippe in the presidential election by stating that he was "the only person who can win," but also...
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Presidential election: Édouard Philippe endorses Gérald Darmanin, who declares that economic efforts are necessary
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Presidential election: Gérald Darmanin makes his political comeback in Tourcoing alongside Édouard Philippe
Avoiding "multiplying candidacies": why Gérald Darmanin decided to support Édouard Philippe for the 2027 presidential election
Avoiding "multiplying candidacies": why Gérald Darmanin decided to support Édouard Philippe for the 2027 presidential election
Présidentielle 2027: Gérald Darmanin a annoncé apporter son soutien à Édouard Philippe
"I've decided not to add to the division": Gérald Darmanin announces he will "not run in the presidential election" and offers his support to Édouard Philippe.
"I have decided not to add to the division": Gérald Darmanin announces "that he will not be running in the presidential election" and offers his support to Édouard Philippe
Presidential election: Gérald Darmanin will not be a candidate and is supporting Edouard Philippe
Where does the news lean?
4YES12NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 66% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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See all outcomes for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.