2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?Édouard Philippe
Open$15Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 88% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES88¢
NO12¢
as of
What moved the odds?
20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
"Without an absolute majority in the National Assembly, nothing great is possible," says Édouard Philippe, the "Horizons" candidate in the presidential election.
"He's the one who sheds blood and tears," says Édouard Philippe, the "Horizons" candidate in the presidential election, about Jean-Luc Mélenchon.
"In my government, I will choose the best," declares Édouard Philippe, the "Horizons" candidate in the presidential election.
LIVE. 2027 Presidential Election: Le Pen, Mélenchon, Philippe, Attal… The Medef is organizing the first debate with the main candidates this Thursday
Presidential election 2027: Édouard Philippe wants to reduce unemployment benefits and "put an end to the open bar of sick leave"
Presidential election 2027: Benjamin Haddad, Minister Delegate for Europe, announces his support for Édouard Philippe
Presidential election 2027: "The campaign doesn't scare me," says Édouard Philippe, despite a "real and serious risk" of a Le Pen-Mélenchon duel
Presidential election: Édouard Philippe outlines his 2027 ambitions in Mayotte, first clashes with the left on immigration
Presidential election 2027: with the support of Gérald Darmanin, Edouard Philippe wants to initiate a "grand rally"
Avoiding "multiplying candidacies": why Gérald Darmanin decided to support Édouard Philippe for the 2027 presidential election
Avoiding "multiplying candidacies": why Gérald Darmanin decided to support Édouard Philippe for the 2027 presidential election
Presidential election 2027: Édouard Philippe will make his return to the campaign trail in Mayotte and Réunion
Presidential election 2027: From La Baule, a stronghold of the right, Edouard Philippe "sends a postcard" to rally his camp
Presidential election: how Édouard Philippe is trying to stand out
Presidential election: How Édouard Philippe is trying to stand out
Presidential election 2027: "Édouard Philippe has the human qualities," says Éric Woerth, former "Ensemble" MP
"A very personal speech," more than 5,000 people expected... What will Édouard Philippe's presidential rally look like this Sunday?
2027 Presidential Election: "Édouard Philippe has chosen the path of seriousness, he is ready," declares Jean-Pierre Raffarin, former Prime Minister
Program, attacks on opponents... Édouard Philippe outlines the main points of his 2027 campaign.
Program, attacks on opponents... Édouard Philippe outlines the main points of his 2027 campaign
Where does the news lean?
66YES6NO9neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans YES at 56% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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