2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?Édouard Philippe

OpenVol$20KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 89% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES89¢
NO11¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

22 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

YESleparisien.fr98%match92¢-3%
Presidential election 2027: "We will have to move quickly," Édouard Philippe plans to promulgate 20 ordinances as early as July if elected
YEStf1info.fr98%match85¢+5%
LIVE - 2027 Presidential Election: Édouard Philippe plays his pensions card, the incumbent camp under pressure
YESFrench Media97%match88¢+1%
"For the moment, I'm the frontrunner in the polls": Édouard Philippe, Horizons candidate for the 2027 presidential election, wants to unite the leaders of the right and center
YESFrench Media93%match88¢+1%
"I am currently the frontrunner in the polls" Presidential candidate Édouard Philippe extends an olive branch to his rivals on the right and in the center #BFM2
YESfranceinfo.fr94%match88¢+1%
Live: #POLITICS Former Prime Minister Edouard Philippe, a candidate in the presidential election, is calling on his rivals on the right and in the center to meet in early November, franceinfo and France Inter have learned from sources...
YESlesechos.fr97%match88¢+1%
Presidential election 2027: Edouard Philippe goes on the offensive to unite the right and the center
YESFrench Media98%match88¢+1%
BREAKING NEWS 2027 Presidential Election: Édouard Philippe wants to bring together center and right-wing candidates and party leaders during the All Saints' Day holiday
YESFrench Media98%match88¢+1%
2027 Presidential Election: Édouard Philippe aims to unite the right and center broadly
YESFrench Media94%match88¢+1%
Primary: "I'm not afraid of elections," declares Édouard Philippe, "Horizons" candidate for the presidential election
YESFrench Media92%match88¢+1%
"I want to make education a major national priority," declares Édouard Philippe, "Horizons" candidate in the presidential election.
YESFrench Media93%match88¢+1%
"I am a candidate and a man of the right," declares Édouard Philippe, the "Horizons" candidate in the presidential election.
YESFrench Media92%match88¢+1%
"We can restore order to our public finances," declares Édouard Philippe, "Horizons" candidate in the presidential election. I pledge that France's deficit will reach 2% by the end of the five-year term.
YESFrench Media92%match88¢+1%
"I think we can lower the unemployment rate," says Édouard Philippe, the "Horizons" candidate in the presidential election.
YESFrench Media91%match88¢+1%
"Gérald Darmanin will play a central role in organizing this reshuffle," declared Édouard Philippe, the "Horizons" candidate in the presidential election.
YESFrench Media95%match88¢+1%
"The future of this campaign is not written," says Édouard Philippe, the "Horizons" candidate in the presidential election.
YESFrench Media92%match88¢+1%
"Without an absolute majority in the National Assembly, nothing great is possible," says Édouard Philippe, the "Horizons" candidate in the presidential election.
YESFrench Media92%match88¢+1%
"In my government, I will choose the best," declares Édouard Philippe, the "Horizons" candidate in the presidential election.
YESlefigaro.fr98%match86¢+3%
Presidential election 2027: Édouard Philippe wants to reduce unemployment benefits and "put an end to the open bar of sick leave"
YESFrench Media97%match85¢+5%
Presidential election: Édouard Philippe outlines his 2027 ambitions in Mayotte, first clashes with the left on immigration
YESFrench Media97%match84¢+6%
Avoiding "multiplying candidacies": why Gérald Darmanin decided to support Édouard Philippe for the 2027 presidential election
YESbfmtv.com97%match84¢+6%
Avoiding "multiplying candidacies": why Gérald Darmanin decided to support Édouard Philippe for the 2027 presidential election
YESlefigaro.fr98%match77¢+16%
Presidential election 2027: Édouard Philippe will make his return to the campaign trail in Mayotte and Réunion

Where does the news lean?

123YES6NO12neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.

What would make this resolve YES?

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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