2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?Bruno Retailleau
Open$10Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 77% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES77¢
NO23¢
as of
What moved the odds?
15 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
LIVE
"No election scares me": Bruno Retailleau "not against a primary" for the right and center, but he "doesn't believe in it"
2027 Presidential Election: Bruno Retailleau reaffirms his determination after a low-key summer, despite a campaign struggling to gain momentum
Jean-Luc Mélenchon in power? "It would be a disaster," laments Bruno Retailleau, LR candidate for the presidential election.
Immigration: "I will revise the Constitution," assures Bruno Retailleau, LR candidate for the presidential election
2027 Presidential Election: A duel between Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Mélenchon would end in chaos, asserts Bruno Retailleau, LR candidate for the presidential election.
"I think 2027 is the last chance election" for France, says Bruno Retailleau, LR candidate for the presidential election
Live: "Turning the tables": Bruno Retailleau wants to "offer an alternative" to the French for the next presidential election
Presidential election 2027: "My commitment is to win, to go all the way," declares Bruno Retailleau, LR candidate
Présidentielle 2027: "Jamais Marine Le Pen ne redressera la France", estime Bruno Retailleau, candidat LR
2027 Presidential Election: "I'm here to win," asserts Bruno Retailleau
Aix meetings: "We must restore the value of work and discourage welfare dependency," says Bruno Retailleau, president of the Republicans and candidate for the 2027 presidential election. #BFM2
Presidential election: "I think the National Rally is a fickle party," says Bruno Retailleau
Presidential election 2027: "I think I will win, because I will offer a different choice," says Bruno Retailleau
Presidential election 2027: Laurent Wauquiez asserts that Bruno Retailleau is "the legitimate candidate of the Republicans" and leaves "any candidacy aside"
Presidential election 2027: the popularity ratings of Édouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau and Gérald Darmanin are declining, according to a poll
Where does the news lean?
20YES1NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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