2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?Bruno Retailleau
Open$18Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 63% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES63¢
NO37¢
+31 ptsas of
What moved the odds?
22 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Live: #POLITICS The LR presidential candidate Bruno Retailleau unveils a savings plan of 197 billion euros "until 2032", which, according to him, would allow the public deficit to fall below 3% as early as 2031 "...
Bruno Retailleau, the Republican candidate for president, details his proposals regarding pensions. #BFM2
Purchasing power: "If we don't want to be passive, we must take action," observes Bruno Retailleau, LR candidate for the presidential election, after the meeting at the Élysée Palace.
Live: #PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION The LR candidate Bruno Retailleau has just presented his proposals on purchasing power, with an emphasis on housing, echoing the recent proposals outlined by Marine Le Pen on this topic...
Bruno Retailleau's back-to-school speech, the "Les Républicains" candidate for the presidential election
Presidential election: "France is divided between two camps," according to Bruno Retailleau, LR candidate
Presidential election: "We will be the rebuilders of our country," asserts Bruno Retailleau, "The Republicans" candidate for the presidential election, referring to the debt.
"France is divided between two camps," declared Bruno Retailleau, the "Les Républicains" candidate for the presidential election, during his rally in Nogent-sur-Marne.
Presidential election: "You, the youth of France, are on the front lines of the coming battle," declares Bruno Retailleau, "The Republicans" candidate for the presidential election
Presidential election: "You, the youth of France, are at the forefront of the coming battle," declares Bruno Retailleau, "The Republicans" candidate for the presidential election
Live: #POLITICS The Republican presidential candidate, Bruno Retailleau, announces that he will not attend the meeting proposed by his rival Edouard Philippe in early November, aimed at preparing a "rally"...
Presidential Election 2027: Bruno Retailleau presents his campaign team, with Othman Nasrou to lead his communications
LIVE
Presidential election: Fabien Roussel officially announces his candidacy, Gabriel Attal and Bruno Retailleau rule out withdrawal
Live: Bruno Retailleau rules out joining forces with Gabriel Attal or Édouard Philippe and insists he will go "all the way to victory"
Presidential election 2027: Bruno Retailleau denounces the "amateurishness" of Jordan Bardella and the National Rally and calls on their voters to support him
Presidential election: Bruno Retailleau rules out joining forces with Gabriel Attal or Édouard Philippe and insists he will go "all the way to victory"
Bruno Retailleau's presidential minute, the "Les Républicains" candidate in the presidential election
Presidential election: "The central bloc cannot win," says Bruno Retailleau, LR candidate for the presidential election
Presidential election: Bruno Retailleau rules out joining forces with Gabriel Attal or Édouard Philippe and asserts that he will go "all the way to victory"
"Jean-Luc Mélenchon and his supporters are courting the Muslim vote in France," says Bruno Retailleau, the LR candidate for the presidential election.
LIVE
"No election scares me": Bruno Retailleau "not against a primary" for the right and center, but he "doesn't believe in it"
2027 Presidential Election: Bruno Retailleau reaffirms his determination after a low-key summer, despite a campaign struggling to gain momentum
Where does the news lean?
68YES2NO10neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans YES at 60% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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