2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?Bernard Cazeneuve
Open$10Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 10% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES10¢
NO90¢
as of
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Bernard Cazeneuve calls for the formation of a "coalition of committed individuals" to prevent a victory for the National Rally in the presidential election.
Présidentielle 2027 : «Mon objectif est de devenir président», annonce Bernard Cazeneuve
Live: #PRESIDENTIAL Former Socialist Prime Minister Bernard Cazeneuve continues to prepare for a candidacy, stating that his "objective is to become President of the Republic" if the political project he has launched...
Presidential election: Bernard Cazeneuve is counting on the "wisdom" of the social-democratic camp to ensure there is "only one candidate"
BFMTV DOCUMENT. Presidential election: Bernard Cazeneuve's letter to the French people for 2027
Presidential election 2027: Bernard Cazeneuve outlines a candidacy without going through the primary process
Presidential election 2027: Bernard Cazeneuve "announces his candidacy" in a letter to the French
“It is through a contract that binds me to the French people that I am presenting my candidacy”: Bernard Cazeneuve unveils his letter for 2027
Where does the news lean?
10YES0NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 57% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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