2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?Jordan Bardella
Open$22Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 13% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES13¢
NO88¢
as of
What moved the odds?
17 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
"I will keep my word and I will campaign alongside her," assures Jordan Bardella, regarding Marine Le Pen's presidential candidacy. The president of the National Rally is a guest on BFMTV at 7 p.m. this Saturday
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Presidential election: Jordan Bardella assures he will be "there no matter what"
2027: "To all French people, I would say that I will be there no matter what," declares Jordan Bardella
"We will run this campaign side by side" 2027: Jordan Bardella asserts he is "a candidate for Prime Minister" to "lead a national recovery project"
Presidential election: Jordan Bardella says he wants to form a "national unity" government that would surpass the National Rally if he wins in 2027
Presidential election 2027: Jordan Bardella "is delighted that Marine can represent our country"
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2027 Presidential Election: Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella "both enter this campaign" in La Flèche, a "symbol" of the National Rally's commitment
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2027 Presidential Election: The first joint campaign trip for candidate Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella begins in La Flèche
Presidential election 2027: "We are both entering this campaign," says Marine Le Pen alongside Jordan Bardella in Sarthe
LIVE - 2027 Presidential Election: Marine Le Pen launches her campaign with Jordan Bardella in Sarthe this Wednesday
LIVE 2027 Presidential Election: Now a candidate, Marine Le Pen makes her first campaign trip with Jordan Bardella after his appeal conviction
Presidential election: Marine Le Pen announces Jordan Bardella as "Prime Minister" in case of victory
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2027 Presidential Election: Marine Le Pen announced her decision to Jordan Bardella (BFMTV NEWS)
Jordan Bardella: The 'blank canvas' who could be France's youngest president
Presidential election: Jordan Bardella says he is "calm" and "ready to accept the consequences" of Marine Le Pen's verdict
BREAKING NEWS
2027 Presidential Election: Jordan Bardella claims to be "calm" and says he is "ready to face the consequences" of Marine Le Pen's verdict
France's far-right National Rally party has become the target of searches across the EU in an embezzlement case, France24 reports. "Since early this morning, searches have been carried out in the offices and private homes of telecom providers who collaborated with us," party leader Jordan Bardella wrote on social media. The official reason for the searches is the misuse of EU funds from 2019 to 2024 by the now-defunct Identity and Democracy group of MEPs, of which Bardella's party was a member. The National Rally leader himself previously stated that the investigation constituted "a new harassment operation by the European Parliament." Jordan Bardella is the leading candidate for president of France in the polls. He took over the National Rally party from Marine Le Pen. According to media reports, Macron will not be able to run in the 2027 presidential election due to a third-term limit, and wants to retain his technical successor, Gabriel Attal, for one term before resuming his post in 2032. Now, according to media reports, a purge of Attal's political rivals is underway in the country. More IZ RU news in MAX
Where does the news lean?
21YES12NO5neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 66% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
What would make this resolve YES?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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See all outcomes for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.