2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?François Hollande
Open$14Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 27% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES27¢
NO73¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
"He's still at the appeal stage": François Hollande continues to orchestrate his return in 2027
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François Hollande does not rule out a presidential candidacy "if the situation requires it"
"I can be useful, but I cannot be a token candidate": Hollande maintains his hypothesis for 2027
Where does the news lean?
13YES0NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 59% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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