2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?Olivier Faure

OpenVol$4KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 14% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES14¢
NO86¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

10 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

YESleparisien.fr98%match13¢+8%
Presidential election 2027: Olivier Faure a candidate in the primary organized by the Socialist Party and Place Publique
YESfrance24.com92%match13¢+8%
Olivier Faure, candidate in the left-wing primary
YESlefigaro.fr98%match13¢+8%
Presidential election 2027: the first secretary of the Socialist Party, Olivier Faure, will be a candidate in the left-wing primary
YESFrench Media98%match13¢+8%
Presidential election: Olivier Faure will announce his candidacy for the left-wing primary ahead of 2027
YESFrench Media98%match13¢+8%
Presidential election: Socialist Party leader Olivier Faure will announce his candidacy for the left-wing primary ahead of 2027
YESFrench Media98%match13¢+8%
BREAKING NEWS Presidential election: Olivier Faure will announce his candidacy for the left-wing primary ahead of 2027
YESbfmtv.com98%match13¢+8%
Live: Olivier Faure, First Secretary of the Socialist Party, will announce his candidacy for the left-wing primary in preparation for 2027
YESFrench Media99%match8¢+75%
2027 Presidential Election: "We will fight like dogs," declares the Socialist Party's first secretary, Olivier Faure #BFM2
YESFrench Media99%match7¢+100%
2027 Presidential Election: Olivier Faure "surprised" by the appearance of new candidates "every morning" #BFM2
YESFrench Media99%match7¢+100%
2027 Presidential Election: "We will fight like dogs," declares the Socialist Party's first secretary, Olivier Faure #BFM2

Where does the news lean?

21YES5NO3neutraltrailing 24h

Signal flow leans YES at 50% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.

What would make this resolve YES?

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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