2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?Ségolène Royal
Open$4Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 3% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES3¢
NO97¢
+89 ptsas of
What moved the odds?
12 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
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Socialist primary for the 2027 presidential election: Ségolène Royal announces she has obtained the necessary endorsements
Presidential election 2027: Ségolène Royal defends her candidacy in the Socialist primary to "appease France, which has been tested by its years of Macronism"
LIVE
Presidential election: Ségolène Royal details her first measures if elected
"The French no longer accept this decline, and neither do I," declared Ségolène Royal, when questioned about her candidacy in the Socialist primary for the presidential election.
"Don't let them scare you": Ségolène Royal defends her candidacy in the Socialist Party primary for 2027
"Don't let them scare you": Ségolène Royal defends her candidacy for the Socialist Party primary ahead of 2027
BREAKING NEWS
2027 Presidential Election: Ségolène Royal announces her candidacy for the Socialist Party primary
Where does the news lean?
31YES0NO9neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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See all outcomes for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.