2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?Sébastien Lecornu
Open$1Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 7% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES7¢
NO93¢
as of
What moved the odds?
9 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
LIVE
Presidential election: Sébastien Lecornu reaffirms he is not a candidate
Presidential election 2027: Sébastien Lecornu rules out a candidacy and calls for avoiding "domestic chaos" by voting on a budget
Live: It's 4 PM, here's a news update: • #POLITICS Reaffirming that he is not a "presidential candidate," Sébastien Lecornu outlined several options for the 2027 budget, "reversible" after the election...
Live: #POLITICS Sébastien Lecornu reaffirmed that he is not a "presidential candidate" and will not "interfere" in the campaign for next spring's election, in an interview published Saturday by Le Parisien...
BREAKING NEWS
Presidential election: Sébastien Lecornu confirms he is not a candidate
Presidential election 2027: "I am not a candidate in the election," insists Sébastien Lecornu
Sébastien Lecornu: "I am not a candidate in the presidential election."
Live: Sébastien Lecornu confirms he is not a candidate in the presidential election
French PM Lecornu: There will be no proposed tax increases in the 2027 budget plan.
Where does the news lean?
4YES9NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 91% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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