2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?Marine Le Pen
Open$27Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 88% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES88¢
NO13¢
as of
What moved the odds?
20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Live: For Jordan Bardella, Marine Le Pen is the "natural candidate" of the National Rally in the presidential election
In the spring of 2027, France will hold a presidential election that will bring an end to the Emmanuel Macron era. The election campaign has not yet officially begun, but virtually all the main candidates were identified this summer, including those from the far-right National Rally (RN): on July 7, the Paris Court of Appeal effectively lifted the ban on Marine Le Pen, the leader of the RN faction in the National Assembly, and on the same day, she announced her candidacy. French far-right presidential candidate Marine Le Pen has promised to hold a constitutional referendum on migration if elected. RBK investigated why it is being called a coup in form and content. Photo: Tom Nicholson / Getty Images RBC Channel on Max
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EXPLAINED: Why is Marine Le Pen now able to run for the French presidency? • • After more than a year of uncertainty, a court ruling means the French far-right politician can run in the country’s 2027 presidential election. How has the situation been resolved, at least for now?
"Tonight I declare: I am a presidential candidate" On July 7, Marine Le Pen announced live on TF1 that she is running for president in 2027, despite the appeal court's guilty verdict. She also confirmed that if she wins, Jordan Bardella will become prime minister. A new political plot that the Fifth Republic has never seen before. For the first time, the front-runner in a presidential campaign is entering it after already being convicted by a criminal court and awaiting the decision of the cassation court. Kommersant's correspondent in France, Alexei Tarkhanov, reports. Follow Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram [in reply to: Marine Le Pen returns to the race for the Elysee Palace The Paris Court of Appeal has allowed her to participate in the presidential elections. This decision effectively determined the configuration of the 2027 presidential campaign in France. The court, which had promised not to interfere in politics, decided two political issues at once: the French elections and the situation within the National Rally. Kommersant's correspondent in France, Alexei Tarkhanov, reports the details. Follow Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram]
Le Pen announces readiness to participate in the French presidential election French far-right leader Marine Le Pen announced that she is ready to participate in the presidential election despite the confirmation of her conviction for embezzlement. The Financial Times newspaper wrote: The announcement by the French far-right leader will mark the beginning of an unprecedented election campaign in next year's elections. @IRNA_1313
Hours after being convicted of embezzling European Parliament funds, far-right National Rally leader Marine Le Pen announced her intention to run for president of France in 2027.
LIVE
2027 Presidential Election: Laure Lavalette, spokesperson for the National Rally, speaks of "great relief" after Marine Le Pen's candidacy
LIVE - 2027 Presidential Election: Marine Le Pen launches her campaign with Jordan Bardella in Sarthe this Wednesday
Marine Le Pen announced that she will run for president of France in 2027 The leader of the French "National Union" said that she would file a cassation appeal against the court's decision and conduct a presidential campaign without an electronic bracelet. According to Le Pen, the appeal to the Court of Cassation suspends the execution of her sentence. So, tonight I am a candidate in the presidential election, — the politician announced on French television. Le Pen also assured that she no longer sees any scenario in which she would not be able to participate in the 2027 elections.
"There's no scenario in which I can't run for president," French far-right leader Marine Le Pen declared in a television appearance after her conviction, stating her intention to run in the 2027 spring presidential election.
Frenchwoman Marine Le Pen announces her presidential candidacy for 2027 Far-right politician Marine Le Pen announced her candidacy for the 2027 French presidential elections after an appeals court reduced her disqualification from 60 to 45 months, allowing her to run despite her conviction for misusing European Parliament funds.
Marine Le Pen, former leader of France's far-right party, was found guilty on appeal, but the suspension of her eligibility to run for office was shortened. She has announced she will run in next year's presidential election.
French President Marine Le Pen intends to run for president in 2027, despite a guilty verdict in her appeals court; she has indicated her intention to appeal.
French far-right defendant Marine Le Pen announces candidacy for 2027 presidential election after conviction
French far-right leader Marine Le Pen found guilty again in her second trial; however, the reduction in her suspension from running for office will allow her to announce her candidacy for next year's presidential election.
French far-right leader Marine Le Pen says she will run for president in 2027 – video
Marine Le Pen, the far-right leader of France, announced her candidacy for the 2027 presidential election.
French far-right figure Marine Le Pen has been found guilty again, making her legally eligible to run in next year's presidential election.
French court clears way for Marine Le Pen to run in 2027 but under a condition she rejects
Breaking : Marine Le Pen, leader of #France’s far-right National Rally party, has been cleared by a court to run in the 2027 presidential election. • • The ruling could prove highly consequential for both France’s next presidential race and the future direction of the European Union.
Where does the news lean?
89YES13NO32neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans YES at 50% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
What would make this resolve YES?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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