2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?David Lisnard

OpenVol$7KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 47% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES47¢
NO53¢

24h+41 ptsas of

What moved the odds?

9 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

YESFrench Media99%match45¢+4%
"Moral and political compromises": David Lisnard denounces "a caste ready to do anything" to stay in power in the presidential election.
YESbfmtv.com99%match45¢+4%
"Moral and political compromises": David Lisnard denounces "a caste ready to do anything" to remain in power in the presidential election
YESFrench Media99%match45¢+4%
"France does not sort its citizens, contrary to what Mr. Mélenchon wants to do," declares David Lisnard, candidate for the 2027 presidential election and mayor of Cannes.
YESFrench Media99%match45¢+4%
"The excuse of minority will be lifted for all crimes. (...) The parents of juvenile delinquents will be held accountable for their children's actions," declares David Lisnard, candidate for the 2027 presidential election and mayor of Cannes. #BFM2
YESFrench Media99%match45¢+4%
"We will make debureaucratization and deregulation the major focus of the next five-year term," announced David Lisnard, candidate for the 2027 presidential election and mayor of Cannes. #BFM2
YESFrench Media99%match45¢+4%
"Immigration is uncontrolled; it jeopardizes all social balances and the very existence of our culture and way of life," declares David Lisnard, candidate for the 2027 presidential election and mayor of Cannes. #BFM2
YESFrench Media99%match50¢-6%
"Faced with Jean-Luc Mélenchon, I will vote for any candidate," declares David Lisnard, candidate for the 2027 presidential election.
YESFrench Media99%match50¢-6%
Climate change adaptation: "There is total hypocrisy in referring people to obligations while removing resources," says David Lisnard, candidate for the 2027 presidential election
YESFrench Media99%match50¢-6%
"Emmanuel Macron's problem is that he's diverting public opinion from what falls under his responsibility," says David Lisnard, a candidate in the 2027 presidential election.

Where does the news lean?

10YES0NO6neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

What would make this resolve YES?

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related markets

See all outcomes for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.

Trending now