2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?Raphaël Glucksmann
Open$12Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 56% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES56¢
NO44¢
-4 ptsas of
What moved the odds?
24 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
LIVE
Presidential election: Michaël Delafosse, Socialist mayor of Montpellier, announces his support for Raphaël Glucksmann in the left-wing primary
"We're going to tax mega-inheritances, those above two million euros," explained Raphaël Glucksmann, the Socialist candidate for the presidential election, during the Socialist Party's summer conference in Blois.
"The country needs a budget, but it can't be unfair, and we can't always ask the same people to make sacrifices," said Raphaël Glucksmann, the Socialist candidate for the presidential election, during the Socialist Party's summer conference in Blois.
Presidential election: Socialist Party MP Boris Vallaud announces his support for Raphaël Glucksmann
Presidential election 2027: "We will be able to offer a dynamic approach," assures Raphaël Glucksmann, during his first campaign stop
Presidential election 2027: the steep path of Raphaël Glucksmann, now a candidate
Glucksmann launches his campaign for 2027: the left reacts with support, sarcasm, and settling of scores.
Live: Here's a first look at the news headlines: #PRESIDENTIAL Raphaël Glucksmann announced his candidacy for the presidential election this Sunday evening on TF1's "20 Heures" news program...
Presidential election 2027: Yannick Jadot lends his support to Raphaël Glucksmann
Presidential election: Léa Salamé announces her withdrawal from the 8 PM news following the candidacy of her partner, Raphaël Glucksmann
Presidential election: Léa Salamé announces her withdrawal from the 8 PM news following the candidacy of her partner Raphaël Glucksmann
"The best-placed candidate": Yannick Jadot announces his support for Raphaël Glucksmann for the 2027 presidential election
Live: Yannick Jadot announces his support for Raphaël Glucksmann in the 2027 presidential election
Live: Raphaël Glucksmann officially announces his candidacy for the presidential election
Presidential election 2027: "We will win the election," asserts Raphaël Glucksmann, who extends an olive branch to the Greens.
The grandson of a Soviet spy wants to become president of France. The leader of the French center-left party and member of the European Parliament, Raphaël Glucksmann, announced his intention to run in the 2027 French presidential election, The Telegraph reports. The 46-year-old former essayist and member of the European Parliament confirmed his candidacy in an interview on the TF1 television channel. Glucksmann's grandfather was a Soviet spy, and his father was a philosopher and writer. Glucksmann promises to "revive France." "I believe I have a vision that will allow France to recover," he said. More IZ RU news in MAX
Live: Here's a first look at the news headlines: #PRESIDENTIAL Raphaël Glucksmann announced his candidacy for the presidential election this Sunday evening on TF1's 8 PM news...
Live: It's time for a final update on today's news: #PRESIDENTIAL Raphaël Glucksmann announced his candidacy for the presidential election this Sunday evening on TF1's 8 PM news...
France: Raphaël Glucksmann announces candidacy for the 2027 presidential election
Live: #PRESIDENTIAL Invited to TF1's 8 p.m. news, the co-founder of Place Publique, Raphaël Glucksmann, has just announced that he is a candidate in the presidential election.
Glucksmann to enter French presidential race
Live: Raphaël Glucksmann's candidacy announcement for 2027 expected this Sunday
Presidential election 2027: Raphaël Glucksmann's candidacy is taking shape
Presidential election: Raphaël Glucksmann is accelerating his campaign and plans to officially announce his candidacy on Sunday
Where does the news lean?
76YES0NO7neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans YES at 55% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Related markets
See all outcomes for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.