2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?Raphaël Glucksmann
Open$23Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 83% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES83¢
NO17¢
as of
What moved the odds?
32 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
2027 Presidential Election: "It's violent," Valérie Trierweiler warns Léa Salamé after Raphaël Glucksmann's primary victory
Live: After his primary victory, Raphaël Glucksmann wants to "put an end to the political hegemony of the brutals over the French left"
2027 Presidential Election: After the Primary, Raphaël Glucksmann faces the arduous challenge of uniting
Presidential election 2027. Raphaël Glucksmann wins the left-wing primary: "The choice is clear"
LIVE - 2027 Presidential Election: Raphaël Glucksmann launches "an appeal to all ecologist, humanist, and republican citizens" to join him
LIVE
2027 Presidential Election: Raphaël Glucksmann, the clear winner of the Socialist primary, declares that "the democratic left is back"
Live: Raphaël Glucksmann officially nominated as the PS-Place publique candidate
Presidential election 2027: Raphaël Glucksmann, winner of the left-wing primary, faces the challenge of mobilizing the social-democratic family for the battle
Eurodeputy Raphael Glucksmann was on Sunday elected the centre-left candidate for next year's French presidential elections, winning comfortably in the first round, organizers of the vote said. • •
Live: And here's the latest news of the day: #PRESIDENTIAL The leader of Place Publique, Raphaël Glucksmann, was widely designated as the social-democratic left's candidate for the presidential election, right from the first round...
Raphaël Glucksmann overwhelmingly elected as the social-democratic left-wing candidate for the presidential election
Raphaël Glucksmann officially a candidate, a "clear direction" and some grey areas
Raphael Glucksmann elected centre-left French presidential candidate
Raphaël Glucksmann wins the Social Democratic primary: former President François Hollande congratulated the winner via message
Raphaël Glucksmann's victory in the Social Democratic primary: the reaction of Marine Tondelier, the Green Party candidate for the presidential election
Glucksmann wins centre-left ticket for France’s presidential election
Raphaël Glucksmann wins the Social Democratic primary: "Marine Le Pen will not be in the Élysée Palace in May 2027," declares the winning candidate
Social Democratic primary for the 2027 presidential election: Glucksmann hopes to win in the first round, the result will be known tonight
Presidential election: "We all know this campaign won't happen without massive Russian interference," warns Raphaël Glucksmann, Place Publique candidate for the presidential election
LIVE
Presidential election: Michaël Delafosse, Socialist mayor of Montpellier, announces his support for Raphaël Glucksmann in the left-wing primary
"The country needs a budget, but it can't be unfair, and we can't always ask the same people to make sacrifices," said Raphaël Glucksmann, the Socialist candidate for the presidential election, during the Socialist Party's summer conference in Blois.
Presidential election: Socialist Party MP Boris Vallaud announces his support for Raphaël Glucksmann
Presidential election 2027: "We will be able to offer a dynamic approach," assures Raphaël Glucksmann, during his first campaign stop
Glucksmann launches his campaign for 2027: the left reacts with support, sarcasm, and settling of scores.
The grandson of a Soviet spy wants to become president of France. The leader of the French center-left party and member of the European Parliament, Raphaël Glucksmann, announced his intention to run in the 2027 French presidential election, The Telegraph reports. The 46-year-old former essayist and member of the European Parliament confirmed his candidacy in an interview on the TF1 television channel. Glucksmann's grandfather was a Soviet spy, and his father was a philosopher and writer. Glucksmann promises to "revive France." "I believe I have a vision that will allow France to recover," he said. More IZ RU news in MAX
Live: #PRESIDENTIAL Invited to TF1's 8 p.m. news, the co-founder of Place Publique, Raphaël Glucksmann, has just announced that he is a candidate in the presidential election.
Glucksmann to enter French presidential race
Live: Raphaël Glucksmann's candidacy announcement for 2027 expected this Sunday
Presidential election 2027: Raphaël Glucksmann's candidacy is taking shape
Presidential election: Raphaël Glucksmann is accelerating his campaign and plans to officially announce his candidacy on Sunday
"I don't want to be just another candidate" Raphaël Glucksmann will announce his candidacy for the presidential election "before the end of the summer"
2027 Presidential Election: Raphaël Glucksmann "doesn't want to be just another candidate" and will announce his decision "before the end of the summer"
Where does the news lean?
151YES0NO14neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans YES at 61% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
What would make this resolve YES?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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