2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?Marine Tondelier

OpenVol$13KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 31% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES31¢
NO70¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

17 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

YESFrench Media93%match25¢+24%
Purchasing power: "There is no single solution that will solve all the problems of the French people," says Marine Tondelier, the Green Party candidate for the presidential election.
YESFrench Media92%match25¢+24%
"The roundabouts will be reoccupied in a few days," predicts Marine Tondelier, the Green Party candidate for the presidential election.
YESFrench Media96%match25¢+24%
Party leaders invited to the Élysée Palace: "We'll be there," announces Marine Tondelier, the Green Party candidate for the presidential election.
YESFrench Media93%match26¢+19%
Presidential election: "No one will win alone," reminds Marine Tondelier, the Green Party candidate
YESFrench Media93%match26¢+19%
"No one will win alone," reminds Marine Tondelier, the Green Party candidate for the presidential election.
YESFrench Media95%match26¢+19%
Presidential election: Marine Tondelier assures that she will "prioritize her baby" but that she "does not intend" to put her campaign on hold for four months.
YESbfmtv.com94%match26¢+19%
Presidential election: Marine Tondelier assures that she will "give priority to her baby" but that she "does not intend" to put her campaign on hold for four months.
YESrtl.fr97%match26¢+19%
Presidential election 2027: Pregnant, Marine Tondelier assures that she will not stop for four months but that "even during the campaign, this baby will be my priority"
YESFrench Media98%match25¢+24%
Presidential election 2027: "My opponents are the right and the far right," declares Marine Tondelier, candidate (The Greens) for the election
YESFrench Media98%match25¢+24%
Presidential election 2027: "I call for unity" on the left, declares Marine Tondelier, candidate (The Greens) for the election
YESFrench Media98%match25¢+24%
2027 Presidential Election: "No one will win alone" on the left, declares Marine Tondelier, candidate (The Greens) for the election
YESfranceinfo.fr93%match26¢+19%
Live: #PRESIDENTIAL The presidential campaign is in full swing: after Gabriel Attal, it's Marine Tondelier who is speaking at the Lille street market today...
YESbfmtv.com97%match26¢+19%
Presidential election: Marine Tondelier believes that "no one will be right alone" on the left, but for the time being reaffirms her independent candidacy.
YESleparisien.fr96%match31¢
Presidential election: Marine Tondelier maintains her candidacy and extends an olive branch to "everyone on the left"
YESFrench Media92%match30¢+3%
"Clearing a path to victory": Marine Tondelier, the Green Party's presidential candidate, proposes "bilateral meetings" with other left-wing parties.
YESleparisien.fr96%match26¢+19%
Presidential election: why Marine Tondelier continues to campaign
YESlefigaro.fr99%match22¢+41%
Presidential election 2027: Marine Tondelier acknowledges that the socialists "have decided to bury the unified left-wing primary"

Where does the news lean?

22YES0NO10neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.

What would make this resolve YES?

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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See all outcomes for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.

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