2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?Fabien Roussel

OpenVol$5KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 81% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES81¢
NO19¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

YESFrench Media98%match84¢-4%
Presidential Election 2027: Fabien Roussel declares he will "never" withdraw in favor of another political party
YESbfmtv.com98%match84¢-4%
Presidential election 2027: Fabien Roussel declares he will "never" withdraw in favor of another political party
YESFrench Media95%match83¢-2%
Presidential election: "I will never withdraw" in favor of another left-wing force, affirms Fabien Roussel, national secretary of the French Communist Party and presidential candidate
YESFrench Media95%match83¢-2%
Presidential election: the goal for the left is to “win the second round,” declares Fabien Roussel, national secretary of the French Communist Party and presidential candidate
YESfranceinfo.fr96%match85¢-5%
Live: #MACRON Fabien Roussel, the communist candidate for the next presidential election, speaks of the "wall of anger" of the French against which the appeals of the President of the Republic are running up.
YESFrench Media92%match85¢-5%
Meeting at the Élysée Palace: "There is no short-term solution being considered by the President of the Republic," reacts Fabien Roussel, PCF candidate for the presidential election.
YESFrench Media93%match85¢-5%
Presidential election: "We have a genuine societal project that we will defend to our fellow citizens right up to the first round," affirms Fabien Roussel, PCF presidential candidate
YESFrench Media94%match86¢-6%
Presidential election: "The people of France are suffering," insists Fabien Roussel, candidate for the French Communist Party in the presidential election
YESFrench Media94%match86¢-6%
"I propose we make the revolution now in the streets before the ballot box": Fabien Roussel, the French Communist Party candidate for the presidential election, calls for mobilization at the Fête de l'Humanité (Humanity Festival)
YESFrench Media95%match86¢-6%
Presidential election: "The end is near for all those who are picking our pockets," chants Fabien Roussel, candidate for the French Communist Party in the presidential election
YESFrench Media97%match86¢-6%
Presidential election: "He will never" withdraw, affirms Fabien Roussel, candidate for the French Communist Party in the presidential election
YESbfmtv.com93%match85¢-5%
Live: "Never": Fabien Roussel has no intention of withdrawing from the presidential race
YESFrench Media93%match85¢-5%
"I'm calling for mobilizations, at roundabouts, in workplaces... I'll be there," declared Fabien Roussel, candidate for the French Communist Party in the presidential election.
YESFrench Media93%match86¢-6%
LIVE Presidential election: Fabien Roussel calls for a reduction in VAT on energy and urges the French to mobilize
YESFrench Media97%match87¢-7%
The national secretary of the Communist Party, Fabien Roussel, officially announces his candidacy for the presidential election
YESleparisien.fr98%match87¢-7%
LIVE. 2027 Presidential Election: Fabien Roussel a candidate, the Le Pen-Philippe duel is confirmed in the polls
YESFrench Media97%match87¢-7%
LIVE Presidential election: Fabien Roussel officially announces his candidacy, Gabriel Attal and Bruno Retailleau rule out withdrawal
YESleparisien.fr94%match80¢+1%
"I don't understand this obstinacy": Fabien Roussel's new candidacy for 2027 is causing irritation within the French Communist Party (PCF).
YESbfmtv.com99%match69¢+17%
Live: Expected at the PCF national congress, Fabien Roussel says he is "ready" to be a candidate in 2027
YESFrench Media99%match69¢+17%
Presidential election 2027: "We don't want to have to choose between Jean-Luc Mélenchon and Raphaël Glucksmann," declares Fabien Roussel

Where does the news lean?

44YES0NO1neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.

What would make this resolve YES?

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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