2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?Éric Zemmour

OpenVol$20KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 74% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES74¢
NO26¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

YESalarabiya92%match89¢-17%
Pledging to combat immigration and deport foreigners, Eric Zemmour enters the French presidential race.
YESalhadath92%match89¢-17%
Pledging to fight immigration and deport foreigners, Eric Zemmour enters the French presidential race.
YESpolitico.eu93%match88¢-16%
Far-right Zemmour lets slip French presidential bid
Presidential election 2027: Eric Zemmour confirms his candidacy and hardens his rhetoric on immigration
YESlesechos.fr98%match85¢-13%
Presidential election 2027: Eric Zemmour confirms he will be a candidate
YESbfmtv.com97%match85¢-13%
Live: Éric Zemmour announces he will run in the presidential election
YEStf1info.fr98%match83¢-11%
LIVE – 2027 Presidential Election: Zemmour officially announces his candidacy, Attal argues for a "United States of Europe"
YESlefigaro.fr98%match79¢-6%
Presidential election 2027: Éric Zemmour confirms he will be a candidate, further hardening his rhetoric on immigration
YESFrench Media97%match78¢-5%
"I will be a candidate": Éric Zemmour announces on BFMTV that he will run in the presidential election
YESrtl.fr98%match81¢-9%
Presidential election 2027: Eric Zemmour confirms his candidacy and outlines the first details of his platform
YESfrance24.com98%match79¢-6%
Far right: Éric Zemmour confirms his candidacy for the French presidential election
YESFrench Media94%match78¢-5%
Éric Zemmour announces he will be "a candidate for the presidency of the Republic"
YESleparisien.fr99%match78¢-5%
Presidential election: Éric Zemmour announces he will be a candidate in 2027
YESfranceinfo.fr93%match78¢-5%
Live: #PRESIDENTIAL Eric Zemmour, president of the Reconquête party, has officially announced his candidacy, unsurprisingly...
YESfranceinfo.fr95%match78¢-5%
Live: #PRESIDENTIAL Far-right leader Eric Zemmour has officially announced his candidacy for the presidential election...
YESFrench Media97%match78¢-5%
BREAKING NEWS "I will be a candidate": Éric Zemmour announces on BFMTV that he will run in the presidential election
YEStf1info.fr92%match78¢-5%
Live: ZEMMOUR PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE
YESbfmtv.com97%match78¢-5%
"I will be a candidate": Éric Zemmour announces on BFMTV that he will run in the presidential election
YESFrench Media99%match78¢-5%
"I will be a candidate in the presidential election": Éric Zemmour announces he will run in 2027
YESFrench Media98%match78¢-5%
BREAKING NEWS "I will be a candidate in the presidential election": Éric Zemmour announces he will run in 2027

Where does the news lean?

29YES0NO6neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.

What would make this resolve YES?

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related markets

See all outcomes for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.

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