How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?5.5%
Open$6Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 6% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES6¢
NO94¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
TREASURY 10-YEAR YIELD RISES TO 4.49%, HIGHEST SINCE JULY • • VaR shock time
NONews99%match93¢+1%
*TREASURY 10-YEAR YIELD RISES TO 4.49%, HIGHEST SINCE JULY
NY bonds fall, 10-year Treasury yield at 4.34% despite better-than-expected employment figures.
NOBloomberg99%match95¢-1%
The 10-year Treasury note’s yield is headed for a fifth straight week of minimal change, rivaling its longest stretch of inertia in the past two decades
NOFinancialJuice98%match92¢+2%
Treasury Wi seven-year yield 3.933% before $44 billion auction.
Where does the news lean?
1YES10NO9neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
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