How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?5.1%
Open$355as of
Odds now
The market prices a 93% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES93¢
NO8¢
as of
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
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