How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?5.2%
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$166Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
The yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds has reached 5.2%, reflecting a better-than-expected economy. What other variables remain for the US stock market?
[Breaking News] 30-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Surges to 5.2% Range... Highest Since 2007
NOzerohedge98%match91¢-100%
*TREASURY YIELDS EXTEND DECLINES; 10-YEAR FALLS TO 3.97%
NOFinancialJuice99%match91¢-100%
Treasury WI 10-year yield 4.163% before $42 billion auction.
NOBloomberg99%match93¢-100%
The 10-year Treasury note’s yield is headed for a fifth straight week of minimal change, rivaling its longest stretch of inertia in the past two decades
YESBloomberg99%match8¢+1150%
Treasury yields climbed to the highest in more than two months
Where does the news lean?
11YES10NO56neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
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