How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?5.2%
Open$26Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 8% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES8¢
NO92¢
as of
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
[Breaking News] 30-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Surges to 5.2% Range... Highest Since 2007
NOzerohedge98%match91¢+1%
*TREASURY YIELDS EXTEND DECLINES; 10-YEAR FALLS TO 3.97%
NOFinancialJuice99%match91¢+1%
Treasury WI 10-year yield 4.163% before $42 billion auction.
NOBloomberg99%match93¢-1%
The 10-year Treasury note’s yield is headed for a fifth straight week of minimal change, rivaling its longest stretch of inertia in the past two decades
NOFinancialJuice98%match92¢
Treasury WI 20-year yield 4.799% before $13 billion auction.
NOFinancialJuice98%match92¢
Treasury WI 30 year yield 4.774% before $22 billion auction.
YESBloomberg99%match8¢
Treasury yields climbed to the highest in more than two months
Where does the news lean?
9YES9NO10neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
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