French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
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Market pricing makes Dominique de Villepin the favorite at 70% across 21 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Jordan Bardella shows his determination: "I'm going to spend my time getting Marine Le Pen elected." Purchasing power, security, public order, standards: for Jordan Bardella, the priorities of the French people must be at the heart of the next presidential election. #TheBigInterview
LIVE | Presentation of Marine Le Pen's five-year presidential campaign's financial trajectory with Jordan Bardella and Jean-Philippe Tanguy, from campaign headquarters
LIVE | Presentation of Marine Le Pen's five-year presidential campaign's financial trajectory with Jordan Bardella and Jean-Philippe Tanguy, from campaign headquarters
LIVE | Presentation of Marine Le Pen's five-year presidential campaign's financial trajectory with Jordan Bardella and Jean-Philippe Tanguy, from campaign headquarters
19 days to go before the big presidential campaign launch rally in Orléans! Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella invite you to the CO’Met Arena at 3 pm to launch, with you, the campaign that must lead to victory! Free registration at:
France: How François Hollande plans to return to office to prevent Marine Le Pen from taking office
LIVE
"The best-placed among us to win the presidential election": Carole Delga reiterates her support for Raphaël Glucksmann
Live: "The best placed among us to win the presidential election": Carole Delga reiterates her support for Raphaël Glucksmann
Far right: Éric Zemmour confirms his candidacy for the French presidential election
Éric Zemmour announces he will be "a candidate for the presidency of the Republic"
Presidential election: Éric Zemmour announces he will be a candidate in 2027
Live: #PRESIDENTIAL Eric Zemmour, president of the Reconquête party, has officially announced his candidacy, unsurprisingly...
Live: #PRESIDENTIAL Far-right leader Eric Zemmour has officially announced his candidacy for the presidential election...
BREAKING NEWS "I will be a candidate": Éric Zemmour announces on BFMTV that he will run in the presidential election
Live: ZEMMOUR PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE
"I will be a candidate": Éric Zemmour announces on BFMTV that he will run in the presidential election
"I will be a candidate in the presidential election": Éric Zemmour announces he will run in 2027
BREAKING NEWS
"I will be a candidate in the presidential election": Éric Zemmour announces he will run in 2027
2027 Presidential Election: Éric Zemmour declares himself “candidate for the presidency of the Republic”
LIVE
Presidential election: Éric Zemmour promises to "campaign" with Sarah Knafo
Live: "I will be a candidate in the presidential election": Éric Zemmour announces he will run in 2027
Live: DOMINIQUE DE VILLEPIN HAS GATHERED APPROXIMATELY 300 ENDORSEMENTS
2027 Presidential Election: Éric Zemmour, president of Reconquête, explains he is “in the process of running for office”
Live: Éric Zemmour is "in the process of launching his candidacy" for the presidential election
"Proposing a new budget": Jordan Bardella announces his first measure as Prime Minister if Marine Le Pen wins the election
François Hollande ready to "serve his country" if he can "appear as one of the solutions"
LIVE
François Hollande "Facing BFM": "I won't be a candidate any later," jokes the former president, who is not participating in the Socialist primary.
LIVE
François Hollande "Facing BFM": "I won't be a candidate any later," jokes the former president, who remains reluctant to participate in the Socialist primary.
Live: "I won't be a candidate any longer": François Hollande still reluctant to participate in the Socialist primary
Live: Who will François Hollande support in the primary? The former president wants to wait until "the debates are over."
What is this event about?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.