French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?Dominique de Villepin
Open$387as of
Odds now
The market prices a 44% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES44¢
NO56¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
2027 Presidential Election: "I want to be a candidate," Dominique de Villepin reveals more of himself and accuses Philippe of "playing into Le Pen's hands" on immigration
"I'm fighting for it": Dominique de Villepin confirms his intention to "be a candidate" in the presidential election and claims to have "several hundred endorsements"
"I'm fighting for it": Dominique de Villepin confirms his intention to "be a candidate" in the presidential election and claims to have "several hundred endorsements"
LIVE
Presidential election: Dominique de Villepin says he "wants to be a candidate" and that he has "several hundred endorsements"
Where does the news lean?
5YES0NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans YES at 58% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Related markets
See all outcomes for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.