French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?Jordan Bardella
Open$5Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 9% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES9¢
NO92¢
as of
What moved the odds?
20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
LIVE
According to Jordan Bardella, Marine Le Pen is the "natural candidate" of the National Rally in the presidential election
Live: For Jordan Bardella, Marine Le Pen is the "natural candidate" of the National Rally in the presidential election
"I will keep my word and I will campaign alongside her," assures Jordan Bardella, regarding Marine Le Pen's presidential candidacy. The president of the National Rally is a guest on BFMTV at 7 p.m. this Saturday
"I will keep my word and I will campaign alongside her," assures Jordan Bardella, president of the National Rally, regarding Marine Le Pen's presidential candidacy.
Live: On BFMTV, Jordan Bardella assures that he will be "alongside" Marine Le Pen
"We will run this campaign side by side": Jordan Bardella affirms that he will be "the number one supporter" of Marine Le Pen and her Prime Minister should they win.
Presidential election 2027: Jordan Bardella promises to put "all his energy" into ensuring Marine Le Pen wins
2027: "To all French people, I would say that I will be there no matter what," declares Jordan Bardella
"We will run this campaign side by side" 2027: Jordan Bardella asserts he is "a candidate for Prime Minister" to "lead a national recovery project"
Presidential election: National Rally leader Jordan Bardella vows to put "all his energy" into ensuring Marine Le Pen wins in 2027
LIVE
Presidential election: Jordan Bardella will put "all his energy" into ensuring Marine Le Pen wins in 2027
Live: Jordan Bardella will put "all his energy" into ensuring Marine Le Pen wins in 2027
Exclusive: Jordan Bardella of the National Rally to speak at Reform's party conference in Birmingham • • If Marine Le Pen is elected French President, he will serve as her PM • • His speech is expected to focus on how RN and Reform will work together in office: •
LIVE
2027 Presidential Election: Jordan Bardella "delighted" that Marine Le Pen can "represent" the National Rally
Presidential election 2027: Jordan Bardella "is delighted that Marine can represent our country"
LIVE
2027 Presidential Election: Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella "both enter this campaign" in La Flèche, a "symbol" of the National Rally's commitment
LIVE
2027 Presidential Election: The first joint campaign trip for candidate Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella begins in La Flèche
Presidential election 2027: "We are both entering this campaign," says Marine Le Pen alongside Jordan Bardella in Sarthe
Presidential election: Marine Le Pen announces Jordan Bardella as "Prime Minister" in case of victory
LIVE Jordan Bardella asserts that he is "preparing to become head of government" and not president of the Republic.
Where does the news lean?
11YES19NO28neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 75% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Related markets
See all outcomes for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.