French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?Manuel Bompard
Open$3Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 6% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES6¢
NO95¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Presidential election: "If the Greens and the Communists want to get involved in Jean-Luc Mélenchon's campaign, they are welcome," assures Manuel Bompard
Where does the news lean?
0YES1NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Related markets
See all outcomes for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.