French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?Éric Zemmour

ResolvedOutcome: YesVol$14KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

17 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESfrance24.com98%match96¢+4%
Far right: Éric Zemmour confirms his candidacy for the French presidential election
YESFrench Media97%match94¢+6%
Éric Zemmour announces he will be "a candidate for the presidency of the Republic"
YESleparisien.fr99%match95¢+5%
Presidential election: Éric Zemmour announces he will be a candidate in 2027
YESfranceinfo.fr95%match95¢+5%
Live: #PRESIDENTIAL Eric Zemmour, president of the Reconquête party, has officially announced his candidacy, unsurprisingly...
YESfranceinfo.fr97%match96¢+4%
Live: #PRESIDENTIAL Far-right leader Eric Zemmour has officially announced his candidacy for the presidential election...
YESFrench Media98%match95¢+5%
BREAKING NEWS "I will be a candidate": Éric Zemmour announces on BFMTV that he will run in the presidential election
YEStf1info.fr94%match95¢+5%
Live: ZEMMOUR PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE
YESbfmtv.com98%match95¢+5%
"I will be a candidate": Éric Zemmour announces on BFMTV that he will run in the presidential election
YESFrench Media99%match93¢+8%
"I will be a candidate in the presidential election": Éric Zemmour announces he will run in 2027
YESFrench Media99%match87¢+15%
BREAKING NEWS "I will be a candidate in the presidential election": Éric Zemmour announces he will run in 2027
YESFrench Media98%match87¢+15%
2027 Presidential Election: Éric Zemmour declares himself “candidate for the presidency of the Republic”
YESbfmtv.com99%match87¢+15%
Live: "I will be a candidate in the presidential election": Éric Zemmour announces he will run in 2027
YESFrench Media98%match87¢+15%
2027 Presidential Election: Éric Zemmour, president of Reconquête, explains he is “in the process of running for office”
YESbfmtv.com98%match87¢+15%
Live: Éric Zemmour is "in the process of launching his candidacy" for the presidential election
YESbfmtv.com98%match83¢+20%
Live: Éric Zemmour will announce his presidential candidacy "before December," while François Hollande continues to keep everyone guessing about his possible candidacy.
YESleparisien.fr94%match76¢+32%
"Here we go, it's started": Éric Zemmour launches his pre-campaign among farmers
YESFrench Media97%match76¢+32%
LIVE Éric Zemmour will announce whether he is a presidential candidate "before December"

Where does the news lean?

18YES0NO12neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.

Past moves on this market

Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.

How did this market resolve?

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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See all outcomes for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.

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