French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?Olivier Faure

ResolvedOutcome: YesVol$3KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

25 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESbfmtv.com96%match100¢
Live: Édouard Philippe calls for the "rallying" of the right and center, Olivier Faure officially announces his candidacy
YESrtl.fr93%match100¢
"I am fighting against the right and the far right": Olivier Faure officially announces his candidacy for the left-wing primary
YESFrench Media98%match100¢
2027 Presidential Election Socialist Party leader Olivier Faure officially announces his candidacy
YESbfmtv.com98%match100¢
Presidential election 2027: Socialist Party leader Olivier Faure officially announces his candidacy
YESFrench Media97%match98¢+2%
"I want to build a fairer France": Olivier Faure officially announces his presidential candidacy
YESFrench Media95%match99¢+1%
"The important thing is that this primary takes place," said Jérôme Guedj, a Socialist and affiliated MP and candidate in the Socialist Party primary, after Olivier Faure officially announced his candidacy for the Socialist primary.
YESFrench Media95%match92¢+9%
"The important thing is that this primary takes place," said Jérôme Guedj, a Socialist and affiliated MP, after Olivier Faure officially announced his candidacy for the Socialist primary.
YESeuractiv.com97%match92¢+9%
Socialist leader Olivier Faure enters French presidential race
YESfranceinfo.fr97%match91¢+10%
Live: #POLITICS The first secretary of the Socialist Party, Olivier Faure, confirmed on TF1 his intention to participate in his party's primary for the presidential election...
YESbfmtv.com97%match84¢+19%
Live: "I want to build a fairer France": Olivier Faure officially announces his presidential candidacy
YESlesechos.fr98%match82¢+22%
2027 Presidential Election: Olivier Faure Launches His Campaign, Raphaël Glucksmann Stands in His Way
YESleparisien.fr93%match81¢+23%
Olivier Faure, running in the Socialist primary: "I want to be the candidate of concrete action and immediate solutions."
YESfranceinfo.fr97%match81¢+23%
Live: #POLITICS "Yes, I am a candidate for the presidency of the Republic," confirms the first secretary of the Socialist Party, Olivier Faure, on TF1's "20 Heures" news program.
YESlefigaro.fr98%match55¢+82%
Presidential election 2027: Olivier Faure officially announces his candidacy for the primary and launches his campaign against Glucksmann
YESfranceinfo.fr94%match54¢+85%
Live: 8 p.m., here's a news update for Sunday, August 30: • #POLITICS The First Secretary of the Socialist Party, Olivier Faure, announced to the members of his parliamentary group his candidacy for the left-wing primary...
YESfranceinfo.fr94%match51¢+96%
Live: 6 PM, here's a recap of today's news: • #POLITICS The First Secretary of the Socialist Party, Olivier Faure, announced to his parliamentary group his candidacy for the left-wing primary...
YESfranceinfo.fr94%match45¢+122%
Live: It's 4 PM, here's a news update: • #POLITICS The First Secretary of the Socialist Party, Olivier Faure, announced to the members of his parliamentary group his candidacy for the left-wing primary...
YESleparisien.fr98%match49¢+104%
Presidential election 2027: Olivier Faure a candidate in the primary organized by the Socialist Party and Place Publique
YESlefigaro.fr98%match49¢+104%
Presidential election 2027: the first secretary of the Socialist Party, Olivier Faure, will be a candidate in the left-wing primary
YESFrench Media98%match49¢+104%
Presidential election: Socialist Party leader Olivier Faure will announce his candidacy for the left-wing primary ahead of 2027
YESbfmtv.com98%match49¢+104%
Presidential election: Socialist Party leader Olivier Faure will announce his candidacy for the left-wing primary in preparation for 2027
YESFrench Media99%match49¢+104%
BREAKING NEWS Presidential election: Olivier Faure will announce his candidacy for the left-wing primary ahead of 2027
YESbfmtv.com98%match49¢+104%
Live: Olivier Faure, First Secretary of the Socialist Party, will announce his candidacy for the left-wing primary in preparation for 2027
NOFrench Media99%match83¢-100%
2027 Presidential Election: The Socialist Party opts for a closed primary to select its candidate; Olivier Faure disavowed
NObfmtv.com99%match83¢-100%
Presidential election 2027: The Socialist Party opts for a closed primary to select its candidate, Olivier Faure disavowed

Where does the news lean?

27YES5NO15neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.

Past moves on this market

Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.

How did this market resolve?

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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