French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?Olivier Faure
Open$2Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 82% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES82¢
NO18¢
as of
What moved the odds?
9 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Live: It's 4 PM, here's a news update: • #POLITICS The First Secretary of the Socialist Party, Olivier Faure, announced to the members of his parliamentary group his candidacy for the left-wing primary...
Presidential election 2027: Olivier Faure a candidate in the primary organized by the Socialist Party and Place Publique
Presidential election 2027: the first secretary of the Socialist Party, Olivier Faure, will be a candidate in the left-wing primary
Presidential election: Socialist Party leader Olivier Faure will announce his candidacy for the left-wing primary ahead of 2027
Presidential election: Socialist Party leader Olivier Faure will announce his candidacy for the left-wing primary in preparation for 2027
BREAKING NEWS
Presidential election: Olivier Faure will announce his candidacy for the left-wing primary ahead of 2027
Live: Olivier Faure, First Secretary of the Socialist Party, will announce his candidacy for the left-wing primary in preparation for 2027
2027 Presidential Election: The Socialist Party opts for a closed primary to select its candidate; Olivier Faure disavowed
Presidential election 2027: The Socialist Party opts for a closed primary to select its candidate, Olivier Faure disavowed
Where does the news lean?
11YES5NO15neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans YES at 53% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
What would make this resolve YES?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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See all outcomes for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.