French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?Carole Delga

OpenVol$1KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 6% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES6¢
NO95¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NOfranceinfo.fr91%match94¢
Live: #PRESIDENTIAL "He is the best candidate on the left." The president of the Occitanie region, Carole Delga, has officially announced her support for Raphaël Glucksmann...
NOlefigaro.fr95%match94¢
"He is the best candidate on the left to win": Socialist Carole Delga officially announces her support for Raphaël Glucksmann in the presidential election
NObfmtv.com93%match94¢
"The best left-wing candidate to win": Carole Delga confirms her support for Raphaël Glucksmann
NObfmtv.com91%match94¢
Live: "He's the best candidate on the left": Carole Delga announces her support for Raphaël Glucksmann

Where does the news lean?

0YES4NO0neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.

What would make this resolve YES?

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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