French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?Sébastien Lecornu
Open$3Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 11% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES11¢
NO89¢
as of
What moved the odds?
15 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
LIVE
Presidential election: Sébastien Lecornu reaffirms he is not a candidate
Live: Sébastien Lecornu reaffirms he is not a presidential candidate
Live: Sébastien Lecornu reaffirms he is not a candidate, Jordan Bardella reiterates his "loyalty" to Marine Le Pen
Presidential election 2027: Sébastien Lecornu rules out a candidacy and calls for avoiding "domestic chaos" by voting on a budget
Live: It's 4 PM, here's a news update: • #POLITICS Reaffirming that he is not a "presidential candidate," Sébastien Lecornu outlined several options for the 2027 budget, "reversible" after the election...
Sébastien Lecornu reaffirms that he is not a presidential candidate and outlines a "reversible" budget.
"I'm not getting involved in the campaign": Sébastien Lecornu reaffirms he is not a presidential candidate
“I am not a candidate in the presidential election,” insists Sébastien Lecornu.
"I'm not getting involved in the campaign": Sébastien Lecornu reaffirms he is not a presidential candidate
Sébastien Lecornu states he is not a "presidential candidate" and is not "interfering" in the campaign
Live: #POLITICS Sébastien Lecornu reaffirmed that he is not a "presidential candidate" and will not "interfere" in the campaign for next spring's election, in an interview published Saturday by Le Parisien...
BREAKING NEWS
Presidential election: Sébastien Lecornu confirms he is not a candidate
Presidential election 2027: "I am not a candidate in the election," insists Sébastien Lecornu
Sébastien Lecornu: "I am not a candidate in the presidential election."
Live: Sébastien Lecornu confirms he is not a candidate in the presidential election
Where does the news lean?
0YES17NO13neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 93% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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See all outcomes for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.