Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Itamar Ben Gvir
Open$1.5Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
With a panel of 9 judges: The High Court has now begun to discuss the removal of Ben Gvir
NOCGTN Europe99%match100¢
Israel: *Message from the Attorney General* The Attorney General's response to petitions regarding the tenure of Minister Ben Gvir: A conditional order is required to compel the Prime Minister to explain why he is not removing the Minister of National Security, MK Ben Gvir,…
Where does the news lean?
22YES50NO38neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 76% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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