Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Benny Gantz

OpenVol$2.2MDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NOn12news99%match100¢
Yesh Atid Chairman Yair Lapid announced that he is willing to drop to third place on the list in favor of a broad union with Gadi Eisenkot, emphasizing that his personal position is less important than the need to unite forces and win the elections. In the background of the move, the connection between Lapid and Naftali Bennett is drawing criticism from Blue and White Chairman Benny Gantz, who claims that it harms the ability to change the government. @amit_segal |
NOn12news99%match100¢
Yesh Atid Chairman Yair Lapid announced that he is willing to drop to third place on the list in favor of a broad union with Gadi Eisenkot, emphasizing that his personal position is less important than the need to unite forces and win the elections. In the background of the move, the connection between Lapid and Naftali Bennett is drawing criticism from Blue and White Chairman Benny Gantz, who claims that it harms the ability to change the government. @amitsegal22 |
YESN13/GLZ Reporters99%match1¢-100%
*Blue and White Chairman Benny Gantz in response to the connection between Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid:* "Congratulations on the connection between Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid." But the real connection that the State of Israel needs is between the parts of the people - without boycotts and without hatred. This will only be ensured by a broad Zionist unity government that will isolate the extremists and move Israel forward, and not a government that relies on extremists or non-Zionist parties. "And this - only Blue and White promises."
NON13/GLZ Reporters99%match99¢+1%
News 13 survey with some interesting data: 1. Eisenkot jumps from 9 seats in the latest poll to 13 seats. Bennett drops to 17 seats (was 22 in the previous poll) 2. Benny Gantz is still below the threshold but very close to it. A significant increase from the previous poll. I said it before and I'll say it again now: Gantz has proven on so many points in the past that the main consideration in his decision-making is the good of the country. In a reality where politicians are busy with boycotts and their seats - Gantz is a different world. For the State of Israel, I hope this will be reflected in the ballot box. 3. A unified list of Arab parties stands at 16 seats. 4. Despite the war: Likud remained with 25 seats 5. Further to section 4, and in general, take surveys with limited liability

Where does the news lean?

6YES5NO10neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

What would make this resolve YES?

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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