Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

OpenOutcomes28as of

Market pricing makes Gadi Eizenkot the favorite at 50% across 28 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

A new blow to Netanyahu; Smotrich's party falls short of the Israeli election quorum A new poll by the Ma'ariv newspaper shows that Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition has faced a decline in seats in the Israeli elections, and the Religious Zionist Party has also failed to pass the quorum; in contrast, the opposition is only two seats away from 59 seats. Read the full text in the link below... @Nournews_ir
Netanyahu's coalition continues to decline in votes The latest poll results from the Ma'ariv newspaper for the upcoming elections in occupied Palestine show that the approval rating for the coalition of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has decreased once again, thus increasing his distance from winning the elections. #IRNA_World @IRNA_1313
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has invited the country's Minister of Internal Security and Minister of Finance to discuss an electoral coalition on Sunday.
Benjamin Netanyahuaa_arabic95%match73¢-4%
An Israeli poll shows Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party leading Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party, with no majority for the opposition. Eisenkot's bloc is projected to win 57 seats compared to 48 for Netanyahu's coalition, while the 15 seats held by Arab parties could give them significant influence in forming a government.
Netanyahu's deep concern over Likud's defeat in the elections The Israeli Prime Minister and Likud Party Chairman recently stated in closed-door meetings that his party has lost 10 seats and does not know how it will regain them. "Benjamin Netanyahu" added at the Likud Party meeting: "According to the polls, Likud has lost 10 seats and I do not know how we will regain them." #IRNA_World @IRNA_1313
Netanyahu's fear of losing the election The Israeli "Kan" network reported in a report that Benjamin Netanyahu is extremely concerned about his political future on the eve of the upcoming elections. In private meetings with his relatives, Netanyahu has expressed concern about the sharp decline in his party's vote base. The Israeli Prime Minister, acknowledging his unfavorable situation in the polls, said: "We have lost 10 seats." nournews.ir @Nournews_IR
Netanyahu's Fear of Election Defeat The Israeli Kan network reported on Benjamin Netanyahu's extreme concern about his political future ahead of the upcoming elections, and announced that he had expressed concern in private meetings with his close associates about the sharp decline in his party's vote base. The Israeli Prime Minister, acknowledging his unfavorable situation in the polls, said: "We have lost 10 seats." @YjcNewsChannel
Netanyahu's Fear of Election Defeat The Israeli Kan network reported in a report that Benjamin Netanyahu is extremely concerned about his political future on the eve of the upcoming elections. In private meetings with his close associates, Netanyahu has expressed concern about the sharp decline in his party's vote base. The Israeli Prime Minister, acknowledging his unfavorable position in the polls, said: "We have lost 10 seats." @TasnimNews
Ofer WinterN12 Reporter97%match1¢+100%
FWD from Israel Today: "Minimum Prime Minister": Netanyahu's Fears of Ofer Winter | Amit Segal >> bit.ly/4qXpNdv
Ofer WinterIsrael Hayom97%match1¢+100%
"Minimum Prime Minister": Netanyahu's Fears of Ofer Winter | Amit Segal >> bit.ly/4qXpNdv
Ofer Wintertimesofisrael.com93%match1¢+100%
Ofer Winter’s disciplined political launch threatens to upend the right-wing bloc
Two months before the elections in Israel, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has made tensions with Turkey a campaign issue, and the August 18 bombing of a Syrian base has become part of his electoral strategy. Polls show his disapproval rating at nearly 60 percent. #Israel #Turkey #teleSUR
Israeli election poll results announced; Netanyahu's rival leads The latest poll on the Israeli Channel 11 television indicates the continued decline of Benjamin Netanyahu's position against his political rivals; with the "Yashar" party led by Gadi Eisenkot coming in first with 24 seats, and the Likud led by Netanyahu coming in second with 22 seats. Read the full text in the link below... @Nournews_ir
Results of the Israeli Channel 11 TV poll: Heavy blow to Netanyahu; Zionists prefer another option The latest polls indicate a serious weakening of Benjamin Netanyahu's position on the eve of the elections; his main rival Gadi Eisenkot is at the top of the prime ministerial options and his party has also surpassed the Likud party. In its latest election poll, the Israeli Channel 11 TV (Kan) examined the level of support for parties and candidates for prime minister. #IRNA_World @IRNA_1313
Eizenkot remains at the top of the prime ministerial candidates with 47%; Netanyahu gets 38% A new survey by the Israeli Kan channel shows that Gadi Eisenkot, the former chief of staff of the Israeli army and head of the Yashar party, remains the most suitable option for the position of prime minister among respondents with 47% of the votes. This figure has not changed compared to the previous poll of the network and shows his position as established. In contrast, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has reached 38%, an increase of 4 percentage points compared to the previous poll. Also, 15% of the survey participants stated that they are still hesitant to choose between the two options. In the scenario of a direct competition between Netanyahu and Naftali Bennett, the competition is considered much closer; So much so that 43 percent consider Bennett more suitable than Netanyahu, and 42 percent prefer Netanyahu. This small gap indicates a sensitive competitive environment among Netanyahu's alternatives. Mizan on social networks @mizanplus‏
Eizenkot remains at the top of the prime ministerial candidates with 47%; Netanyahu gets 38% A new survey by the Israeli Kan channel shows that Gadi Eisenkot, the former chief of staff of the Israeli army and head of the Yashar party, remains the most suitable option for the position of prime minister among respondents with 47% of the votes. This figure has not changed compared to the previous poll of the network and shows his position as established. In contrast, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has reached 38%, an increase of 4 percentage points compared to the previous poll. Also, 15% of the survey participants stated that they are still hesitant to choose between the two options. In the scenario of a direct competition between Netanyahu and Naftali Bennett, the competition is considered much closer; So much so that 43 percent consider Bennett more suitable than Netanyahu, and 42 percent prefer Netanyahu. This small gap indicates a sensitive competitive environment among Netanyahu's alternatives. Mizan on social networks @mizanplus‏
Eizenkot remains at the top of the prime ministerial candidates with 47%; Netanyahu gets 38% A new survey by the Israeli Kan channel shows that Gadi Eisenkot, the former chief of staff of the Israeli army and head of the Yashar party, remains the most suitable option for the position of prime minister among respondents with 47% of the votes. This figure has not changed compared to the previous poll of the network and shows his position as established. In contrast, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has reached 38%, an increase of 4 percentage points compared to the previous poll. Also, 15% of the survey participants stated that they are still hesitant to choose between the two options. In the scenario of a direct competition between Netanyahu and Naftali Bennett, the competition is considered much closer; So much so that 43 percent consider Bennett more suitable than Netanyahu, and 42 percent prefer Netanyahu. This small gap indicates a sensitive competitive environment among Netanyahu's alternatives. Mizan on social networks @mizanplus‏
Not uninteresting (and following this morning's Maariv poll): Eisenkot reaches 56% in Polymarket and is exactly double the percentage of Netanyahu. The trading market for betting on the next prime minister is already about 100 million NIS.
Netanyahu's opponents one step closer to victory; Latest poll results in occupied Palestine According to the results of a poll by the Israeli newspaper Ma'ariv, the Yashar party led by Eisenkot won 3 more seats than last week, taking 26 seats; 6 more seats than the Likud party, which is Netanyahu's political organization. Benjamin Netanyahu and Gadi Eisenkot are considered the two main candidates for prime minister after the upcoming elections in the Zionist regime. #IRNA_World @IRNA_1313
Yair Golanynet.co.il95%match100¢
Yair Golan: "Eizenkot, Bennett and Lieberman will need our recommendation to the president. We will decide who will be the prime minister"
Nir Davori Defense Minister Israel Katz on the High Court decision: "When we win the elections, we will complete the handling of the issue"
Prime Minister and former Defense Minister Naftali Bennett is now presenting his security concept for the next government he heads, as part of a special conference held by the "Unity" party: "In the not-so-distant future, AI capabilities will be even more important than nuclear weapons." The concept: Fixing the equation according to which Iran will fire on Israel in response to attacks in Lebanon. The amendment: Reversing the equation — any firing by Hezbollah will result in an Israeli attack on Iran. The concept: Qatar is a complex country. The amendment: "We will define Qatar as an enemy state. Whoever does not understand this after October 7th is not fit to lead Israel." The concept: Allowing Turkey and Qatar to protect the residents of the Gaza Strip and control the Peace Council. The amendment: We will remove Turkey and Qatar from Gaza and bring Egypt in their place, while preserving Israeli freedom of action In Gaza. The concept: Half a million illegal weapons are circulating within Israel's borders. The amendment: Defining the threat as security and not criminal, activating the IDF and Shin Bet, and declaring places where weapons are located as closed military areas until the area is cleared.
Yariv LevinYnet Reporter93%match100¢
The choice of Yariv Levin at the top of the Likud list illustrates that this is a party that is a whale swimming with the aim of committing suicide on the beach. Levin is more responsible than anyone else - except Netanyahu himself - for the collapse of the entire bloc. Everyone knows this. His friends in the Likud are berating him for not consulting them before that press conference, which led the country into chaos that culminated on October 7. There is no person who has created a plan more harmful to the State of Israel, internally and externally, than Levin. Shas doesn't want to hear his name out of disgust. And if all of this were worth it. Levin passed almost none of the elements of his putsch; on the other hand, with the start of the "reform" Likud immediately lost seats that were never returned. Likud has been losing in most polls since March 2023, long before the Hamas invasion - and that's because of the partnership with the Haredim and the legal coup. Netanyahu knows all this, Likud senior figures (even those who survived) are talking about it. But Likud members are swimming to shore, like the whale.
*Likud statement:* Prime Minister and Likud Chairman Benjamin Netanyahu is very pleased with the results of the Likud primaries and congratulates those who were selected for the list. The new Likud list reflects renewal and the integration of new forces at the top of the list. Together with the armored personnel carriers appointed by Prime Minister Netanyahu, who will further strengthen the list, the Likud team led by Netanyahu will lead to a great victory and the establishment of a broad national government immediately after the elections. This is the only way to prevent a left-wing government of Eisenkot, Yair Golan, Liberman and the Arab parties. Prime Minister Netanyahu thanks the Likud functionaries who chose according to common sense and not according to deals. Prime Minister Netanyahu also greatly appreciates those who did not manage to make it onto the list, thanks them for their contribution and intends to involve them in efforts to ensure Likud's victory.
Yair GolanN12 Reporter93%match100¢
*Likud statement:* Prime Minister and Likud Chairman Benjamin Netanyahu is very pleased with the results of the Likud primaries and congratulates those who were selected for the list. The new Likud list reflects renewal and the integration of new forces at the top of the list. Together with the armored personnel carriers appointed by Prime Minister Netanyahu, who will further strengthen the list, the Likud team led by Netanyahu will lead to a great victory and the establishment of a broad national government immediately after the elections. This is the only way to prevent a left-wing government of Eisenkot, Yair Golan, Liberman and the Arab parties. Prime Minister Netanyahu thanks the Likud functionaries who chose according to common sense and not according to deals. Prime Minister Netanyahu also greatly appreciates those who did not manage to make it onto the list, thanks them for their contribution and intends to involve them in efforts to ensure Likud's victory.
Mevzken 12 Yariv Levin, who appears to be placed seventh on the Likud list, thanked voters in the primaries: I will continue to act fearlessly to complete legal reform
Amit Segal Nir Barkat will finish in 24th place, the last realistic spot for a candidate on the national list. But Netanyahu has a long history of handling problematic candidates according to his method. Now, for example, he could reserve this spot for a new hope, Michel Busquila, and thus push Barkat to 32nd place.
Nir Barkat is oscillating between a realistic and an unrealistic position. But in both scenarios, he is in serious trouble after the efforts of the Prime Minister's entourage against him.
Yariv LevinKan92%match100¢
75% of the votes counted: Eli Cohen in first place, Amir Ohana overtook Yariv Levin and climbed to second place in a close battle between the two. Ministers Silman and Dichter not in a realistic position | All updates @glick_sh
Amir OhanaKan92%match1¢-100%
75% of the votes counted: Eli Cohen in first place, Amir Ohana overtook Yariv Levin and climbed to second place in a close battle between the two. Ministers Silman and Dichter not in a realistic position | All updates @glick_sh

What is this event about?

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related events