Geopolitics prediction markets
Polymarket geopolitics markets — conflicts, diplomacy and international flashpoints — ranked by trading volume and news-signal activity right now.
This is a live board of the markets currently active in this category — it shows what is trading now, not a full archive, and refreshes as the market moves.
Most trading volume
Geopolitics markets ranked by dollars traded on Polymarket over the last 24 hours. Each row shows the leading outcome and its market price.
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?October 1798¢$1.2M
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?October 1896¢$512K
- US announces end of Iranian blockadeMarch 3157¢$272K
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No85¢$146K
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes74¢$128K
- Russia x Ukraine peace talksDecember 3136¢$94K
- Mojtaba Khamenei public appearanceDecember 3119¢$68K
- Putin out as President of RussiaJune 30, 202711¢$65K