Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Ayelet Shaked
Open$2.1Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Ayelet Shaked will not run in the elections: "There is no possibility of passing the electoral threshold"
Amit Segal: Ayelet Shaked has decided: She will not run in the upcoming elections
Ayelet Shaked decided not to run in the elections @yaara_shapira (Photo: Avshalom Sassouni, Flash90)
Ayelet Shaked will not run in the upcoming elections Shaked has decided not to run in these elections. With Bennett, it's clear that it's over. She was skeptical from the start, and rightly so, about the chances of the third bloc. For a long time, the most powerful mayors from the Likud have been pressuring her to run. For example, Yechiel Zohar, the most powerful mayor in the party, said this week that if she had run, she would have been in the top ten. My assessment is that she would run for the Likud, but time will tell.
Amit Segal
A moment before the lists were closed: Ayelet Shaked decided - I will not run in the upcoming elections
Now it's final - Ayelet Shaked will not run in the upcoming elections
Gantz and Shaked in talks for unity: Ayelet Shaked will be placed in second place and will bring her own people to the list - including Rabbi David Stav, Davidi Ben Zion and Shavuot Raanan. Gantz wants to first make sure that all her people commit not to forming a narrow government for either side | @yaara_shapira with the details #NewsHere with @mayarachlin
Where does the news lean?
0YES8NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
What would make this resolve YES?
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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