Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Benjamin Netanyahu
Open$7.6Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 31% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES31¢
NO70¢
as of
What moved the odds?
9 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
An Israeli poll shows Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party leading with 22 seats compared to 18 for Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party, according to Channel 13. The ruling coalition bloc secures 51 seats, compared to 52 for the opposition parties and 13 for the Arab parties. Naftali Bennett's Ma'an party and Yair Golan's Democratic Party each receive 11 seats. The Joint List, Yisrael Beiteinu, and United Torah Judaism each receive 8 seats. 48% prefer Eisenkot for prime minister compared to 36% for Netanyahu, while 16% said they don't know who is more suitable. The poll surveyed 1,503 people and has a margin of error of 2.5%. Percent
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has invited the country's Minister of Internal Security and Minister of Finance to discuss an electoral coalition on Sunday.
Results of the Israeli Channel 11 TV poll:
Heavy blow to Netanyahu; Zionists prefer another option The latest polls indicate a serious weakening of Benjamin Netanyahu's position on the eve of the elections; his main rival Gadi Eisenkot is at the top of the prime ministerial options and his party has also surpassed the Likud party. In its latest election poll, the Israeli Channel 11 TV (Kan) examined the level of support for parties and candidates for prime minister.
#IRNA_World @IRNA_1313
When Benjamin Netanyahu and Donald Trump met in the Oval Office two weeks ago, the president asked the Israeli prime minister how he was doing in the polls ahead of an Oct. 27 election • Netanyahu paused. Then one of his advisers piped up: "Mr. President, he is winning," the aide said, according to a U.S. official familiar with the exchange • Why it matters: Netanyahu is not winning. And so far, Trump hasn't given him the endorsement he hopes for, despite being asked about it repeatedly by reporters
64% chance Benjamin Netanyahu will not be Israel's next Prime Minister.
63% chance Benjamin Netanyahu will not be Israel's next Prime Minister.
Due to the "failures" of October 7th, polls show Gadi Eisenkot leading Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu months before the elections.
An Israeli poll shows the opposition party "Yeshar," headed by Gadi Eisenkot, leading "Likud," headed by Benjamin Netanyahu. Yeshar would win 22 seats compared to 21 for "Likud" in a hypothetical election for the 120-seat Knesset. The Jewish opposition would win 60 seats, compared to 49 for Netanyahu's bloc and 11 for the Arab parties. Forming a government requires the confidence of at least 61 members of parliament, while the majority of Jewish opposition leaders refuse to cooperate with Arab members of parliament. 38 percent of Israelis see Eisenkot as the most suitable candidate for prime minister, compared to 24 percent for Naftali Bennett.
Poll: Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s coalition remains at 49 seats, while the opposition bloc holds a stable 61-seat majority for a third straight week, according to a Maariv poll. •
Where does the news lean?
33YES77NO66neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
What would make this resolve YES?
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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