Next French Presidential Election

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Market pricing makes Marine Le Pen the favorite at 33% across 128 tracked outcomes, as of .

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30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

LIVE Presidential election: Sébastien Lecornu reaffirms he is not a candidate
2027 Presidential Election Poll: Marine Le Pen wins in all scenarios, Jean-Luc Mélenchon loses momentum, according to a new study
David Lisnardlefigaro.fr98%match3¢-33%
Presidential election 2027: In Cannes, French business leader Pierre Gattaz acknowledges convergences with David Lisnard's political project
Presidential election 2027: Sébastien Lecornu rules out a candidacy and calls for avoiding "domestic chaos" by voting on a budget
Live: It's 4 PM, here's a news update: • #POLITICS Reaffirming that he is not a "presidential candidate," Sébastien Lecornu outlined several options for the 2027 budget, "reversible" after the election...
Live: #POLITICS Sébastien Lecornu reaffirmed that he is not a "presidential candidate" and will not "interfere" in the campaign for next spring's election, in an interview published Saturday by Le Parisien...
BREAKING NEWS Presidential election: Sébastien Lecornu confirms he is not a candidate
Presidential election 2027: "I am not a candidate in the election," insists Sébastien Lecornu
Sébastien Lecornu: "I am not a candidate in the presidential election."
Live: Sébastien Lecornu confirms he is not a candidate in the presidential election
LIVE Presidential election: Jordan Bardella will put "all his energy" into ensuring Marine Le Pen wins in 2027
Carole Delgalefigaro.fr93%match100¢
"He is the best candidate on the left to win": Socialist Carole Delga officially announces her support for Raphaël Glucksmann in the presidential election
Live: Gabriel Attal, future Prime Minister under Édouard Philippe? "I am a candidate in the presidential election," he replies.
Marine Le Pen leads the French presidential candidates with 35% of the vote, BFM reports. According to an Ifop-Fiducia poll, the National Rally leader confidently holds first place eight months before the elections. In the previous poll, she was supported by 36% of respondents. The fight to reach the second round is expected to be much closer. Edouard Philippe is gaining 18-21%, and the leader of France Insoumise, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, is getting 17-19%. Moreover, Le Pen wins in all possible runoff scenarios. Against Edouard Philippe, she gains 52% to 48%, and against Jean-Luc Mélenchon, 67% to 33%. Marine Le Pen has already participated in the presidential elections three times and reached the second round twice. In March 2025, she was found guilty of embezzling funds from the European Parliament in a case involving the fictitious employment of party employees. Le Pen was sentenced to four years in prison, a €100,000 fine, and a five-year ban from holding elected office. In July 2026, an appeals court reduced the ban, so the politician retained the right to run in the 2027 elections. However, the guilty verdict remained in force. More IZ RU news in MAX
2027 Presidential Election: François Hollande does not rule out a candidacy "if the situation requires it"
"If the situation demands it and I am convinced...": François Hollande takes another step towards the 2027 presidential election
Marine Le PenFrench Media92%match34¢-3%
Presidential election: a poll confirms Marine Le Pen's lead, Jean-Luc Mélenchon's momentum, and Édouard Philippe's slight decline
Presidential election: a poll confirms Marine Le Pen's lead, Jean-Luc Mélenchon's momentum, and Édouard Philippe's slight decline
Presidential election: a poll confirms Marine Le Pen's lead, Jean-Luc Mélenchon's momentum, and Édouard Philippe's slight decline
LIVE François Hollande does not rule out a presidential candidacy "if the situation requires it"
Live: François Hollande does not rule out a presidential candidacy "if the situation requires it"
Live: 2027: After Édouard Philippe's drop in a recent poll, Gabriel Attal believes there is "no longer a favorite" in the central bloc
French far-right leader Marine Le Pen polling at record high ahead of 2027 election
David Lisnardleparisien.fr98%match3¢-33%
2027 Presidential Election: Cannes Mayor David Lisnard revives the idea of ​​a primary for the right and center
Marine Le Pen leads in the first round against Jean-Luc Mélenchon: the latest poll on voting intentions for the 2027 presidential election
Live: A poll indicates that Jean-Luc Mélenchon is in a position to qualify for the second round of the presidential election
French far-left leader Melenchon seen reaching presidential runoff, poll shows
Presidential election: Jean-Luc Mélenchon "is the left-wing candidate who gives Marine Le Pen the assurance of victory," asserts Nicolas Mayer-Rossignol, Socialist mayor of Rouen
Live: Jean-Luc Mélenchon in a position to qualify for the second round of the presidential election
2027 Presidential Election: Jean-Luc Mélenchon in a position to qualify for the second round, according to a poll

What is this event about?

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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