Next French Presidential ElectionDominique de Villepin

OpenVol$1.7MDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 2% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES2¢
NO98¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

YESbfmtv.com98%match2¢
Presidential election: Dominique de Villepin reiterates his "determination" for 2027 and calls for "unity" to "avoid the worst"
NOFrench Media99%match98¢
Présidentielle 2027: "Je ne suis pas candidat déclaré", annonce Dominique de Villepin, ancien Premier ministre

Where does the news lean?

5YES1NO9neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

What would make this resolve YES?

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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