Next French Presidential ElectionMarine Tondelier
Open$3.6Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Presidential election 2027: Marine Tondelier assures that the Greens will only rally behind another candidate after a victory in a primary
YESAl Jazeera English99%match1¢-100%
French far-right leader Marine Le Pen has begun her appeal against a five-year ban from public office, saying she hopes to overturn it and run for president in 2027 after being convicted last year of embezzling millions in EU funds.
Where does the news lean?
4YES2NO11neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
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