Next French Presidential ElectionJordan Bardella
Open$1.9Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 3% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES3¢
NO97¢
as of
What moved the odds?
11 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
When asked about "a union of the right," Jordan Bardella, president of the National Rally, "extends a hand to Republican voters" for this presidential election.
LIVE
According to Jordan Bardella, Marine Le Pen is the "natural candidate" of the National Rally in the presidential election
Live: For Jordan Bardella, Marine Le Pen is the "natural candidate" of the National Rally in the presidential election
"We will run this campaign side by side" 2027: Jordan Bardella asserts he is "a candidate for Prime Minister" to "lead a national recovery project"
Live: Jordan Bardella, president of the National Rally, who has held the position for four years, is guaranteed to remain at the head of the party: Marine Le Pen's chosen successor, slated to become Prime Minister if she wins the presidency...
Presidential election 2027: Jordan Bardella "is delighted that Marine can represent our country"
Presidential election: Marine Le Pen announces Jordan Bardella as "Prime Minister" in case of victory
Live: Jordan Bardella says he is "calm" and "ready to accept the consequences" of the appeals court's decision.
Jordan Bardella: The 'blank canvas' who could be France's youngest president
YESVisegrád 2499%match28¢-89%
French MEP, and leader of the National Rally, Jordan Bardella: The biggest threat facing our nation today is radical Islam. It does not want to break away from France but to conquer it. Some people have accepted that. I will not.
YESBloomberg99%match24¢-87%
Emmanuel Macron’s entourage derides his boyish far-right rival Jordan Bardella as 'Basic Fit.' But his poll lead is looking pretty healthy, writes @LionelRLaurent (via @opinion)
Where does the news lean?
8YES13NO13neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 75% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
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