Next French Presidential ElectionFrançois Ruffin
Open$3.1Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Former French President François Hollande has announced that he is preparing to run for president again: "I am preparing to make the year 2027 a significant milestone and preparing for elections that will be historic for France, the future of Europe, and even for the stability of the world." @ishayb2003
NOThe Economist98%match99¢+1%
Over the past decade it has evolved from an untouchable extremist movement into a party that could win the French presidency in 2027, or enter government before then
Where does the news lean?
1YES2NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
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