Next French Presidential ElectionBernard Cazeneuve
Open$2.2Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Présidentielle 2027 : «Mon objectif est de devenir président», annonce Bernard Cazeneuve
BFMTV DOCUMENT. Presidential election: Bernard Cazeneuve's letter to the French people for 2027
Presidential election 2027: Bernard Cazeneuve outlines a candidacy without going through the primary process
Presidential election 2027: Bernard Cazeneuve "announces his candidacy" in a letter to the French
“It is through a contract that binds me to the French people that I am presenting my candidacy”: Bernard Cazeneuve unveils his letter for 2027
Where does the news lean?
7YES0NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
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