Next French Presidential ElectionRaphaël Glucksmann
Open$1.5Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 2% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES2¢
NO98¢
as of
What moved the odds?
21 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Glucksmann launches his campaign for 2027: the left reacts with support, sarcasm, and settling of scores.
Live: Here's a first look at the news headlines: #PRESIDENTIAL Raphaël Glucksmann announced his candidacy for the presidential election this Sunday evening on TF1's "20 Heures" news program...
Presidential election 2027: Yannick Jadot lends his support to Raphaël Glucksmann
LIVE
Yannick Jadot announces his support for Raphaël Glucksmann in the 2027 presidential election
Presidential election 2027: Former Green Party candidate Yannick Jadot announces his support for Raphaël Glucksmann "without hesitation"
Presidential election 2027: Yannick Jadot announces his support for Raphaël Glucksmann "without hesitation"
"The best-placed candidate": Yannick Jadot announces his support for Raphaël Glucksmann for the 2027 presidential election
Live: #PRESIDENTIAL Green Party Senator Yannick Jadot announces on France Inter that he supports Raphaël Glucksmann in the 2027 presidential election...
Live: Yannick Jadot announces his support for Raphaël Glucksmann in the 2027 presidential election
Live: Raphaël Glucksmann officially announces his candidacy for the presidential election
EU Parliamentarian: Glucksmann is running in the French presidential election
The grandson of a Soviet spy wants to become president of France. The leader of the French center-left party and member of the European Parliament, Raphaël Glucksmann, announced his intention to run in the 2027 French presidential election, The Telegraph reports. The 46-year-old former essayist and member of the European Parliament confirmed his candidacy in an interview on the TF1 television channel. Glucksmann's grandfather was a Soviet spy, and his father was a philosopher and writer. Glucksmann promises to "revive France." "I believe I have a vision that will allow France to recover," he said. More IZ RU news in MAX
Live: Here's a first look at the news headlines: #PRESIDENTIAL Raphaël Glucksmann announced his candidacy for the presidential election this Sunday evening on TF1's 8 PM news...
Live: It's time for a final update on today's news: #PRESIDENTIAL Raphaël Glucksmann announced his candidacy for the presidential election this Sunday evening on TF1's 8 PM news...
France: Raphaël Glucksmann announces candidacy for the 2027 presidential election
Presidential election 2027: Raphaël Glucksmann officially announces his candidacy
Raphaël Glucksmann announces his candidacy for the presidential election
“Yes, I am a candidate”: Raphaël Glucksmann officially announces his candidacy for the presidential election
BREAKING NEWS "To revive France": Raphaël Glucksmann officially announces his candidacy for the presidential election
Raphaël Glucksmann announces his candidacy for the presidential election as part of the primary organized with the Socialist Party
Live: #PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION While Raphaël Glucksmann is expected to announce his candidacy on Sunday, the divide is widening between La France Insoumise, on one side, and the Socialist Party, on the other...
Where does the news lean?
55YES3NO26neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 69% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Related markets
See all outcomes for Next French Presidential Election — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.