Next French Presidential ElectionÉdouard Philippe
Open$1.4Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 26% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES26¢
NO75¢
as of
What moved the odds?
16 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
LIVE
Presidential election: Édouard Philippe endorses Gérald Darmanin, who declares that economic efforts are necessary
2027 Presidential Election: "There is no longer a favorite" in the centrist bloc, Attal asserts after Philippe's fall in the polls
2027 Presidential Election: Edouard Philippe urges the right and center to unite before February
Presidential election 2027: Gérald Darmanin officially endorses Édouard Philippe
Presidential election 2027: From La Baule, a stronghold of the right, Edouard Philippe "sends a postcard" to rally his camp
Presidential election 2027: Minister Mathieu Lefèvre joins Édouard Philippe's candidacy
Presidential election 2027: Minister Mathieu Lefèvre also endorses Édouard Philippe's candidacy
Presidential election 2027: Édouard Philippe is "the most capable of uniting the French," says Maud Bregeon
"The Republicans have disappeared": Éric Ciotti claims that Bruno Retailleau "will rally behind Édouard Philippe" for the presidential election
POLL. Édouard Philippe in a good position for the presidential election, behind the National Rally
Presidential election: Édouard Philippe could beat the National Rally in the second round, according to a recent Elabe-Berger Levrault poll for BFMTV
Presidential election 2027: Jordan Bardella predicts that "Bruno Retailleau will withdraw and ultimately support Édouard Philippe"
Presidential election 2027: Why Édouard Philippe's rally planned for Paris will ultimately not take place on April 12
#France | Next French Presidential Election - Polymarket • Probability of Edouard Philippe winning, moving higher now at 20% •
"On peut s'engager pour sa ville et pour son pays": Édouard Philippe ne voit aucune "contradiction" à se présenter à la mairie et à l'Élysée •
NONews99%match86¢-14%
Édouard Philippe’s presidential ambitions run into trouble in his Normandy base
Where does the news lean?
32YES17NO43neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 66% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
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