Russia Election: United Russia (ER) Vote Share?50-55%
ResolvedOutcome: No$11Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
United Russia received a constitutional majority in the State Duma - the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation has announced the election results. After 100% of the ballots were processed, United Russia won the party list vote, receiving 58.21%. The Communist Party of the Russian Federation (CPRF) took second place with 13.47%, while the Liberal Democratic Party (LDPR) received 8.88%. The New People party followed with 7.82% and A Just Russia with 5.34%.
United Russia wins majority in parliamentary elections. The ruling party won 57.86% of the vote in the State Duma elections, consolidating its majority in the lower house of Parliament. How do you think this result will impact the international scene? #Russia #ParliamentaryElections #Sep21 Click the link to learn more:
Where does the news lean?
1YES33NO19neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Russia Election: United Russia (ER) Vote Share? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.