Russia Election: United Russia (ER) Vote Share?40-45%
Open$578as of
Odds now
The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
±0 ptsas of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
The Central Electoral Commission of Russia presented the results after processing 45.08% of the protocols of the precinct election commissions in the elections of deputies to the ninth State Duma. According to the broadcast on the Central Election Commission website, the votes were distributed as follows: United Russia — 57.67%; Communist Party of the Russian Federation — 13.81%; Liberal Democratic Party of Russia — 8.88%; New People — 7.87%; A Just Russia — 5.18%; Pensioners' Party — 2.16%; The Greens — 1.02%; Communists of Russia — 0.89%; Rodina — 0.68%; Direct Democracy Party — 0.32%. RBC app for iOS and Android
RBC Channel in "Max"
Where does the news lean?
0YES9NO7neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 83% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
What would make this resolve YES?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
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