Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Open$503Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 18% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES18¢
NO82¢
as of
What moved the odds?
13 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
NOmail.dbnews.com92%match82¢
Secretary of War Pete Hegseth will participate in historic panel tomorrow at U.S. Army’s 2026 Annual Meeting and Exposition
Secretary of War Flag Officer Announcements for Sept. 17, 2026. • Secretary of War Pete Hegseth has announced flag officer nominations made by the president.
Secretary of War General Officer Announcements for September 17, 2026. • Secretary of War Pete Hegseth announced that President Donald J. Trump has made general officer announcements.
The Wall Street Journal: Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth extends US troop deployment in the Middle East until 2027
Secretary Pete Hegseth is planning a meeting of hundreds of service members and military personnel later this month at Quantico, a defense official tells me @NewsNation • • It will be like his meeting last year, I’m told, when he ordered all the country’s generals and admirals together at Quantico. • • First reported by @CarlaBNatSec @NEWSMAX • • @WSJ @laraseligman first reported last week that Hegseth was weighing summoning top military leaders to Quantico for a second time. • • The defense chief declared ‘no more beardos’ in speech last year.
Hegseth is winning the battle over the Pentagon’s future
EXCLUSIVE: Prior to his resignation, Army Secretary Dan Driscoll took his concerns about Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's leadership directly to President Trump, @NancyAYoussef, @missy_ryan, and @MichaelScherer report:
Live: ‘Smart guy’: Trump says he stands by Pete Hegseth as defense secretary
‘Smart guy’: Trump says he stands by Pete Hegseth as defense secretary
Trump: I am very pleased with the performance of Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth.
TRUMP REAFFIRMS SUPPORT FOR HEGSETH • • President Trump dismissed reports questioning Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, calling them "completely false" and reaffirming his full confidence. • • He praised Hegseth's leadership, citing stronger military recruitment, the removal of DEI initiatives, and recent U.S. operations involving Venezuela and Iran as successes. • • Trump also accused The Washington Post of spreading false reports and described its coverage as "treasonous."
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is speaking at a congressional hearing in Washington and was asked about the Trump administration’s plans to withdraw U.S.
U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth attends a House Armed Services Committee hearing on the Department of Defense's FY27 budget request on Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C., U.S., April 29, 2026. REUTERS/Elizabeth Frantz
Where does the news lean?
18YES20NO10neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 78% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.