Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
Open$59Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 98% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES98¢
NO2¢
as of
What moved the odds?
21 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
BofA expects Bank of England to hike rates twice, reverses previous no-hike call
Bank of England approaches reluctant interest rate hike as inflation rate could exceed 4%
Interest rate increase ‘likely’, warns Bank of England
[UPDATE] Bank of England says rates likely to rise as it overhauls gilt sales (first reported at 2026-09-17T11:00:15Z)
BoE Hold Masks A Sharper Bias Towards Tightening • • The Bank of England held the Bank Rate at 3.75% in a 6–3 vote, as expected, but shifted closer to further tightening. Energy prices have risen sharply since July, lifting the Bank’s early-2027 inflation forecast above 4%, while stronger activity suggests economic slack may no longer be increasing. • • Although the MPC still sees little evidence of second-round effects in wages and prices, it now judges those risks to have grown and the inflation outlook to be more clearly tilted to the upside. Notably, several members who voted to hold said the case for raising rates is building if the conflict and energy shock persist. • • The decision should reinforce higher-for-longer expectations and leave a near-term hike firmly in play, supporting sterling and pressuring short-dated gilts. Separately, the Bank made quantitative tightening more predictable, committing to unwind its monetary-policy gilt portfolio by 2034 while maintaining £20 bn of annual sales.
Bank of England maintains policy interest rate at 3.75% for the sixth consecutive meeting.
★Bank of England maintains policy interest rate for the sixth consecutive meeting.
[UPDATE] Bank of England is keeping its main interest rate at 3.75% despite higher inflation (first reported at 2026-09-17T05:04:42Z)
NONews91%match17¢-88%
*BANK OF ENGLAND HOLDS KEY INTEREST RATE AT 3.75% IN 6-3 VOTE
[UPDATE] Bank of England defies Fed’s rate-hike lead, leaving rates unchanged (first reported at 2026-09-17T05:20:23+0000)
NEW • • Bank of England hold interest rates with a 6-3 vote. • • Says q3 growth will now be 0.4% • • - in a surprise move auctions of Government debt are paused, and the Bank has decided to hold on to its stock of long term debts, partly to back up total banknote issuance.
Cailian Press, September 17th - The Bank of England kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.75%, in line with market expectations.
Live: Bank of England to put ‘insurance hikes on the table’
Bank of England set to defy Fed’s rate-hike lead, despite rising inflation
Bank of England set to defy Fed’s rate-hike lead, despite rising inflation
YESReuters97%match78¢+26%
Goldman Sachs Expects BoE to Hike Interest Rate by 25 Bp in November 2026 vs Prior Forecast of Rates Unchanged in 2026
Investors’ expectations for next Bank of England rate hike drift into 2027
NOReuters97%match72¢-97%
Reuters Poll-Bank of England to Hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in 2026, Said 56 Out of 64 Economists
Bank of England to raise rates this year if energy prices stay high
Investors bet on two Bank of England rate hikes this year
Investors ramp up bets on Bank of England rate hikes
Where does the news lean?
44YES25NO6neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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