Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
Open$48Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 30% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES30¢
NO71¢
as of
What moved the odds?
20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Investors’ expectations for next Bank of England rate hike drift into 2027
NOReuters97%match72¢-3%
Reuters Poll-Bank of England to Hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in 2026, Said 56 Out of 64 Economists
Bank of England policymakers keep rates on hold but more back hike
YESReuters96%match41¢-27%
BoE Central Forecast Based on Market Expectations for Energy Prices and Rate Which Shows One Quarter-Point Hike in Q4 and Another in 2027
Bank of England to raise rates this year if energy prices stay high
Bank of England’s Breeden says weak economy makes rate hike less likely
Investors bet on two Bank of England rate hikes this year
TRADERS FULLY PRICE THREE QUARTER-POINT BOE RATE HIKES IN 2026
Investors ramp up bets on Bank of England rate hikes
YESReuters99%match70¢-57%
UK Interest Rate Futures Pricing in About 53 Bps of Bank of England Rate Hikes by End of 2026 vs 63 Bps When Market Opened
Investors add to bets on Bank of England rate hikes
INVESTORS PRICE IN 73 BPS OF BANK OF ENGLAND INTEREST RATE HIKES IN 2026 (TUESDAY: 63 BPS) - OIS CURVE. ...
Investors price in 73 bps of Bank of England interest rate hikes in 2026 (Tuesday: 63 bps) - OIS Curve.
YESReuters99%match77¢-61%
Investors Price in 73 Bps of Bank of England Interest Rate Hikes in 2026 (Tuesday: 63 Bps) - OIS Curve
Morgan Stanley now sees the Bank of England holding rates steady through 2026, shifting away from earlier expectations of rate cuts in April, November, and February 2027.
Morgan Stanley now sees the Bank of England holding rates steady through 2026, shifting away from earlier expectations of rate cuts in April, November, and February 2027.
JPMorgan Chase & Co. now expects the Bank of England to raise interest rates by 25 bps in April and July 2026, reversing its prior view of no rate changes this year.
Goldman Sachs expect Bank of England on hold for the rest of 2026 •
Goldman Sachs expects the Bank of England to remain on hold throughout 2026, revising its prior forecast of quarterly rate cuts starting in July.
Goldman Sachs expects the Bank of England to remain on hold throughout 2026, revising its prior forecast of quarterly rate cuts starting in July.
Where does the news lean?
14YES9NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.