Russia Election: United Russia (ER) Vote Share?

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Market pricing makes 55-60% the favorite at 83% across 6 tracked outcomes, as of .

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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

55-60%83%
60%+11%
50-55%7%
45-50%1%
<40%0%
40-45%0%

What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

55-60%iranintlbrk98%match83¢
The TASS news agency reported Monday morning that after more than 50 percent of the votes were counted, the United Russia party was leading with 57.87 percent. If this result holds, Russia's ruling party would retain a majority of seats in the Duma.
60%+iranintlbrk98%match89¢
The TASS news agency reported Monday morning that after more than 50 percent of the votes were counted, the United Russia party was leading with 57.87 percent. If this result holds, Russia's ruling party would retain a majority of seats in the Duma.
55-60%vedomosti.ru93%match84¢-1%
After processing 67.12% of the protocols, United Russia has gained 57.60%
60%+vedomosti.ru92%match89¢
After processing 67.12% of the protocols, United Russia has gained 57.60%
50-55%vedomosti.ru92%match93¢
After processing 67.12% of the protocols, United Russia has gained 57.60%
55-60%News97%match84¢-1%
United Russia Gains 57.64% of the Vote in the State Duma Elections, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation - 13.91%, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia - 8.66%, New People - 7.92%, Just Russia - 5.08% After Processing 65.44% of the Protocols - the Central Election Commission
55-60%Russian Media98%match84¢-1%
United Russia has 57.7% of the vote in the State Duma elections after 64.98% of the ballots have been processed. The Communist Party of the Russian Federation has 13.87%, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia has 8.65%, New People has 7.92%, and A Just Russia has 5.08%. #elections2026
55-60%News97%match85¢-2%
United Russia Gains 57.70% of the Vote in the State Duma Elections, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation - 13.85%, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia - 8.66%, New People - 7.91%, and Just Russia - 5.09% After Processing 64.67% of the Protocols - the Central Election Commission
55-60%Russian state TV97%match82¢+1%
The Central Election Commission has already processed more than half of the votes cast in the State Duma elections – 58.42%. United Russia is in first place with 57.88% of the vote. Next are the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (13.81%), the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (8.67%), New People (7.84%), and A Just Russia (5.10%). To stay up to date with the latest news: Website | MAX | Telegram
50-55%Russian state TV97%match91¢+2%
The Central Election Commission has already processed more than half of the votes cast in the State Duma elections – 58.42%. United Russia is in first place with 57.88% of the vote. Next are the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (13.81%), the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (8.67%), New People (7.84%), and A Just Russia (5.10%). To stay up to date with the latest news: Website | MAX | Telegram
45-50%Russian state TV97%match99¢
The Central Election Commission has already processed more than half of the votes cast in the State Duma elections – 58.42%. United Russia is in first place with 57.88% of the vote. Next are the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (13.81%), the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (8.67%), New People (7.84%), and A Just Russia (5.10%). To stay up to date with the latest news: Website | MAX | Telegram
55-60%News97%match82¢+1%
United Russia Gains 57.88% of the Vote in the State Duma Elections, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation - 13.81%, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia - 8.67%, New People - 7.84%, Just Russia - 5.10% After Processing 58.42% of the Protocols - the Central Election Commission
45-50%vedomosti.ru96%match99¢
The deputy chairman of the Central Election Commission stated that United Russia is likely to have a constitutional majority.
60%+fnn.jp93%match96¢-7%
Putin's ruling party takes a significant lead in the Russian parliamentary elections, securing 57% of the vote—the first parliamentary elections since the invasion of Ukraine.
50-55%fnn.jp92%match86¢+8%
Putin's ruling party takes a significant lead in the Russian parliamentary elections, securing 57% of the vote—the first parliamentary elections since the invasion of Ukraine.
55-60%Iran Semi-Official Mehr98%match79¢+5%
Preliminary results of the Russian parliamentary elections; United Russia party is in the lead According to the preliminary results announced by the Russian Central Election Commission, the ruling United Russia party is in the lead in the country's parliamentary elections with 57.26 percent of the vote, followed by the Communist Party with 13.84 percent. mehrnews.com @Mehrnews
45-50%Iran Semi-Official Mehr98%match99¢
Preliminary results of the Russian parliamentary elections; United Russia party is in the lead According to the preliminary results announced by the Russian Central Election Commission, the ruling United Russia party is in the lead in the country's parliamentary elections with 57.26 percent of the vote, followed by the Communist Party with 13.84 percent. mehrnews.com @Mehrnews
45-50%Iran Semi-Official SNN98%match99¢
Preliminary results of the Russian parliamentary elections; United Russia party is in the lead According to the preliminary results announced by the Russian Central Election Commission, the ruling United Russia party is in the lead in the country's parliamentary elections with 57.26 percent of the vote, followed by the Communist Party with 13.84 percent. Get the latest news: Site | ETA | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv
55-60%Iran Semi-Official SNN98%match74¢+12%
Preliminary results of the Russian parliamentary elections; United Russia party is in the lead According to the preliminary results announced by the Russian Central Election Commission, the ruling United Russia party is in the lead in the country's parliamentary elections with 57.26 percent of the vote, followed by the Communist Party with 13.84 percent. Get the latest news: Site | ETA | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv
55-60%Russian Media98%match80¢+4%
The Central Election Commission has processed more than half of the votes cast – United Russia received 57.75% of the votes in the State Duma elections. The Communist Party of the Russian Federation received 13.78%, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia received 8.78%, New People received 7.89%, and A Just Russia received 5.13%. #elections2026
55-60%interfax.com97%match
United Russia is leading in the elections for deputies of the ninth State Duma on the federal list with 57.87% of the votes, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation has 13.79%, and the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia has 8.80% - the results of processing more than 50% of the protocols
45-50%interfax.com97%match99¢
United Russia is leading in the elections for deputies of the ninth State Duma on the federal list with 57.87% of the votes, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation has 13.79%, and the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia has 8.80% - the results of processing more than 50% of the protocols
55-60%Iran Semi-Official Fars97%match
FWD from Fars International and Foreign Policy: Preliminary results of the Russian parliamentary elections; the "United Russia" party is in the lead According to the preliminary results announced by the Russian Central Election Commission, the ruling party "United Russia" is in the lead in the country's parliamentary elections with 57.26 percent of the vote, followed by the Communist Party with 13.84 percent. @FarsNewsInt - link
55-60%almayadeennews95%match
"The vote count continues in the Russian State Duma elections, with United Russia leading in the preliminary results with 57.9%, awaiting the final results on September 25." Al Mayadeen correspondent Mahdi Dirani #Russia @MahdiDirani1
50-55%almayadeennews95%match
"The vote count continues in the Russian State Duma elections, with United Russia leading in the preliminary results with 57.9%, awaiting the final results on September 25." Al Mayadeen correspondent Mahdi Dirani #Russia @MahdiDirani1
45-50%almayadeennews95%match99¢
"The vote count continues in the Russian State Duma elections, with United Russia leading in the preliminary results with 57.9%, awaiting the final results on September 25." Al Mayadeen correspondent Mahdi Dirani #Russia @MahdiDirani1
50-55%News93%match
"United Russia" is gaining 57.87% on the federal list, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation - 13.79%, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia - 8.80%, "New People" - 7.86%, "A Just Russia" - 5.11% - the results of processing more than 50% of the protocols
55-60%News97%match
United Russia Gains 57.87% of the Vote in the State Duma Elections, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation - 13.79%, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia - 8.80%, New People - 7.86%, and Just Russia - 5.11% After Processing 50.03% of the Protocols - the Central Election Commission
50-55%News97%match
United Russia Gains 57.87% of the Vote in the State Duma Elections, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation - 13.79%, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia - 8.80%, New People - 7.86%, and Just Russia - 5.11% After Processing 50.03% of the Protocols - the Central Election Commission
45-50%News97%match99¢
United Russia Gains 57.87% of the Vote in the State Duma Elections, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation - 13.79%, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia - 8.80%, New People - 7.86%, and Just Russia - 5.11% After Processing 50.03% of the Protocols - the Central Election Commission

What is this event about?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted. Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

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