Iran-Oman Hormuz Management AgreementSeptember 30

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$829KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

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What moved the odds?

47 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NOcls.cn93%match92¢+9%
Cailian Press reported on September 23 that Mohsen Rezaei, secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, stated that the Strait of Hormuz will not be reopened or any negotiations will be conducted as long as Iran's conditions are not met.
NOiranintl97%match88¢+14%
Ebrahim Azizi, head of the Majlis National Security Commission, said on Sunday, September 19: "The agreement on the Strait of Hormuz was supposed to be unveiled in Muscat in the presence of a number of countries on the southern edge of the Persian Gulf so that everyone would be informed about it, but it was postponed. If we are sure that the Omanis took this action under the influence of the Americans, this will definitely not be in the interest of our friendly, neighboring and brotherly country, Oman, the security of the region, and especially the Strait of Hormuz." Azizi said that the Islamic Republic will not allow the Americans to return to the Persian Gulf region and that renegotiating with the United States "does not make any sense." He also said that if membership in the NPT no longer serves the interests of the Islamic Republic, Tehran will make an "appropriate decision."
YESIran Semi-Official Tasnim92%match10¢-100%
Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: Iran and Oman reached an understanding on determining a safe route for traffic through the Strait of Hormuz @TasnimNews
YESBelarus State News Agency97%match19¢-100%
Iran and Oman agree on plan to open the Strait of Hormuz
NOalarabiya91%match81¢+23%
Following the postponement of the Salalah meeting, the first publicly announced meeting between the Gulf states and Iran, The New York Times reports that the dispute over the future of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz stalled the meeting, and that Tehran is considering Saudi proposals for a solution.
YESIran State TV97%match19¢-100%
Agreement between Iran, Oman on safe Hormuz routes was reached after weeks of talks.
YESVenezuela State-Backed TV95%match56¢-100%
Iran clarified that the agreement reached with Oman will not lead to the immediate reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. #Iran #Hormuz #teleSUR #13Sep
YESIranian Media94%match54¢-100%
Araqchi: Understanding with Oman will define new routes in the Strait of Hormuz Discussions between the Islamic Republic of Iran and the Sultanate of Oman have reached an agreement on the creation of a new maritime route in the Strait of Hormuz, and maps related to this route have been prepared. A joint statement has also been prepared in this regard. @IRIBNEWS_COM
YESalhadath97%match53¢-100%
Iran and Oman reach agreement on a temporary maritime corridor in the Strait of Hormuz... Source: The two sides agreed on routes for ships to enter and exit An agreement between Iran and Oman to establish a temporary maritime corridor in the Strait of Hormuz, to be signed in Salalah tomorrow Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian announced reaching an understanding with the Sultanate of Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz Tasnim News Agency quoted an Iranian source as saying that the two sides agreed on routes for ships to enter and exit The Iranian source confirmed that the Strait of Hormuz will not be reopened under the Iranian-Omani understanding The understandings stipulate the closure of the southern route, according to the source, despite the United States' insistence on its continuation
YESalhadath95%match54¢-100%
Tehran announces agreement with Muscat on a temporary maritime corridor in the Strait of Hormuz... to be signed tomorrow during the Salalah meeting in the Sultanate of Oman. #FromTheEvent
YESalhadath93%match46¢-100%
Iranian Official News Agency: Agreement between Tehran and Muscat to establish a temporary maritime corridor in the Strait of Hormuz The agreement, scheduled to be signed in Salalah on Monday, guarantees the removal of mines from the Strait of Hormuz The anticipated Salalah agreement on Hormuz will be submitted to the International Shipping Organization For more, follow us on YouTube More details on Al-Hadath Net
YESAsharq93%match44¢-100%
Iranian TV: We have reached an understanding with the Sultanate of Oman on a framework for a specific route in the Strait of Hormuz.
YESentekhab_news95%match42¢-100%
Doctors: Iran and Oman's understanding on the Strait of Hormuz will be finalized tomorrow Doctors in an interview with the India Today news network: We discussed the Strait of Hormuz in Oman. We actually reached an understanding on a specific framework for the route. On Monday, the foreign ministers of the same Arab countries that we wanted to fight with will meet in Oman to reach an understanding on this route for Hormuz and to announce this situation to the international organization that is dedicated to the sea. Within that framework of international laws, the route will be open, provided that the United States stops its cowardly aggression and aggression.
YESAl Hadath92%match42¢-100%
Iranian state news agency: The agreement to be signed in Salalah on Monday guarantees the removal of mines from the Strait of Hormuz.
YESIran State News Agency92%match42¢-100%
Three points from this news: 1. Salalah; The most important regional meeting since the start of the war The Salalah meeting will be held in the capital of Oman's Dhofar province with the participation of Iran, Iraq, and a number of Persian Gulf countries; a meeting that could be the first step towards forming a regional framework for discussing Persian Gulf security. 2. Iranian-Omani Hormuz mechanism; The most important agenda The agreement between Tehran and Muscat to create a temporary shipping corridor in the Strait of Hormuz, along with clearing the Strait of mines, will be signed on Monday in the presence of Arab ministers and announced to the International Maritime Organization. 3. Diplomacy without forgetting; Field and diplomacy are companions The Foreign Ministry spokesperson states: "We are not going to forget the past" and "diplomacy will definitely be the field's companion and companion on this path." [in reply to: #IRNA investigated; "Salalah meeting"; The first step of regional diplomacy for endogenous security Leila Vahedi - IRNA reporter Salalah, the capital of Dhofar province in the Kingdom of Oman, will host one of the most important regional meetings on Monday, September 13, since the start of the war against Iran, or even in the past decade; A meeting that will be held with the participation of Iran, Iraq, and some Persian Gulf countries, perhaps as a way to reduce tension in the region, which is currently the most important challenge for the Persian Gulf countries. This meeting could be the first step towards forming a regional framework for dialogue and cooperation on Persian Gulf security; an initiative that, if continued, could pave the way for strengthening the role of regional countries in ensuring their own security and reducing dependence on trans-regional security arrangements. Read the details of this #report on the IRNA website @IRNA_1313]
YESaljazeera.com95%match42¢-100%
Live: Iran-Oman deal sets basis for Strait of Hormuz, no immediate reopening
YESBelarus State News Agency97%match44¢-100%
Iran and Oman reach agreement on shipping in Hormuz - media
YESRussian state TV92%match56¢-100%
Iran has conveyed seven conditions to the United States through intermediaries for opening the Strait of Hormuz, Tasnim reports, citing a source. Also, according to the agency, Iran and Oman have reached a final agreement on the shipping route in the Strait of Hormuz. Based on this agreement, the entrance to the Persian Gulf through the strait is entirely within Iran's territorial waters, while part of the exit route also covers the territorial waters of the Islamic Republic.
YESentekhab_news94%match38¢-100%
Pezzekian: The Strait of Hormuz will be opened provided that the US stops the blockade and aggression On Monday, in Muscat, in the presence of the countries from whose territory we were attacked, an agreement between Oman and Iran on a "joint route through the Strait of Hormuz" will be signed
YESAl Jazeera92%match32¢-100%
Iranian Foreign Ministry: We have reached an understanding with the Sultanate of Oman regarding temporary routes in the Strait of Hormuz, and we will make efforts to ensure the security of navigation.
YESReuters92%match16¢-100%
Iran’s Top Security Official Says Maps of Ships Passage in Hormuz Agreed with Oman to Be Signed in Coming Days - State TV
YESentekhab_news92%match35¢-100%
Gharibabadi: We have reached an understanding with Oman regarding the arrangements for passing through the Strait of Hormuz, but this understanding will not automatically enter into force The Strait of Hormuz understanding with Oman will not enter into force unless the US fulfills its obligations We are in no hurry to reopen the Strait of Hormuz
YESAl Jazeera92%match35¢-100%
Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister: We reached an understanding with Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz, but it will not be implemented until America fulfills its obligations.
YESJordanian Media95%match37¢-100%
Iranian President: We have reached an agreement with the Sultanate of Oman regarding the transit route through the Strait of Hormuz, and if Washington fulfills its commitments, we will open the strait. #Breaking #Iran #Here_is_the_Kingdom
YESalmayadeenlive95%match36¢-100%
Iran: President Masoud Pezeshkian: The Omani side agrees to manage the Strait of Hormuz according to the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding.
YESalarabytv94%match37¢-100%
#Breaking | Iranian President: We have reached an agreement with the Sultanate of Oman regarding the transit route through the Strait of Hormuz, and if America fulfills its commitments, we will open the strait. We have informed the Supreme Leader about the agreed-upon route with the Sultanate of Oman for ships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz.
YESalarabytv92%match37¢-100%
#Breaking | Iranian President: We have informed the Supreme Leader about the agreed-upon route with the Sultanate of Oman for ships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. We have agreed with the Sultanate of Oman on the transit route through the Strait of Hormuz, and if America fulfills its commitments, we will open the strait.
YESLebanese broadcaster Al-Jadeed93%match38¢-100%
Pezeshkian: We have an agreement with Oman regarding the transit route in the Strait of Hormuz, and if America fulfills its commitments in the memorandum of understanding, we will open the strait.
YESAl Jazeera92%match36¢-100%
Pezeshkian: We have an agreement with #Oman regarding the transit route in the Strait of Hormuz, and if America fulfills its commitments in the memorandum of understanding, we will open the strait.
YESiranintlbrk93%match36¢-100%
Masoud Pezhakian: We have reached an agreement with the Omani side regarding the traffic route through the Strait of Hormuz.
YESsemafor.com95%match62¢-100%
Iran, Oman hammer out Hormuz revenue-sharing deal
YESalarabytv92%match57¢-100%
Iranian-Omani agreement on Hormuz and Qatari diplomatic efforts to ensure freedom of navigation in the strait #Latest
YESchosun.com94%match51¢-100%
Iran and Oman Agree on Temporary Route to Hormuz
YESaljazeera.com95%match51¢-100%
Live: All we know about Iran, Oman agreement on temporary Hormuz
YESrbc.ru96%match51¢-100%
Iran and Oman have agreed to share revenues from shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.
YESVenezuela State-Backed TV97%match56¢-100%
"During these negotiations, agreements were reached regarding each party's participation in the waters of the Strait of Hormuz, as well as the distribution of revenue between Iran and Oman," he stated. #Hormuz #teleSUR
NOiranintlbrk97%match44¢+127%
A senior Iranian source told Reuters that the agreement between the Islamic Republic and Oman on the Strait of Hormuz has not yet been finalized and the two countries are still working on the details of the agreement.
NOabkt19899094%match44¢+127%
A high-level Iranian source told Reuters: No final agreement has been reached with the Sultanate of Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz.
NOReuters92%match44¢+127%
Senior Iranian Source to Reuters: an Agreement with Oman Over the Strait of Hormuz Has Not Yet Been Finalised
YESAl Jazeera94%match54¢-100%
The Iranian Revolutionary Guard: We have reached an agreement with #Oman regarding each of our shares of the waters of the Strait of Hormuz and its revenue shares.
YESzerohedge92%match55¢-100%
*IRGC SAYS IRAN, OMAN AGREED ON SHARE OF HORMUZ REVENUES
YESWalter Bloomberg92%match56¢-100%
*IRGC SAYS IRAN, OMAN AGREED ON SHARE OF HORMUZ REVENUES
YEShazem_kallass96%match51¢-100%
Joint Statement by the Iranian and Omani Foreign Ministries: Discussions were held between the Foreign Ministers of Iran and Oman, Abbas Araqchi and Badr Al Busaidi, regarding navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. Agreement was reached on a phased framework to address the current situation in the Strait and the repercussions of the recent war. A proposal was made to establish a joint, temporary shipping lane through the Strait of Hormuz to ensure safe navigation. Agreement was reached to implement a joint project to clear the Strait of mines. Technical negotiations will continue to reach an agreement on a permanent shipping lane and a mechanism for the future management of the Strait. Work will be undertaken to establish a joint mechanism for information exchange, traffic management, and the provision of navigational and security services. The importance of involving the littoral states of the Persian Gulf in joint dialogues regarding navigation arrangements was emphasized. Respect for international law and the sovereign rights of coastal states was stressed.
YESalarabytv93%match50¢-100%
Iran describes it as temporary: Details of understanding with Oman regarding navigation mechanism in the Strait of Hormuz
YESnypost.com97%match55¢-100%
Iran, Oman reach agreement to temporarily reopen Strait of Hormuz
YESBelarus State News Agency96%match46¢-100%
Iran and Oman have agreed to create a temporary corridor in the Strait of Hormuz.
NOiranintl92%match37¢+170%
Two days after the 60-day deadline for an agreement expired, Qalibaf made the opening of the Strait of Hormuz conditional on the fulfillment of five conditions and said Tehran was ready for war. Modern Diplomacy magazine, assessing intelligence data, said the US and Israel are likely to attack Iran two weeks before the elections. Report by Mojtaba Pourmohsen

Where does the news lean?

337YES79NO84neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.

Past moves on this market

Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a diplomatic agreement between Oman and Iran over traffic in the strait of Hormuz is announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A diplomatic agreement refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that establishes agreed actions, policies, obligations, or commitments between Oman and Iran. A qualifying diplomatic agreement must establish Iranian or Omani policies, obligations, or commitments aimed at managing, permitting, restoring, or increasing vessel or shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, including agreements defining vessel traffic corridors, fee collection policies, or other management policies. All listed countries must announce their acceptance of the same qualifying diplomatic agreement for the Payout Condition to be met. A joint announcement will qualify, as will separate announcements from each entity of its own acceptance of an agreement which, taken together, directly indicate that all the listed countries accepted the same agreement. Separate announcements of individual policies will not qualify if the policies are not announced as part of a diplomatic agreement. Each announcement must be a declarative statement that clearly and unambiguously communicates acceptance of an agreement. Statements that reference ongoing negotiations or a prospective agreement, or that allude to or express support for an agreement without confirming acceptance of the agreement, do not qualify. A qualifying announcement need not reference the agreement by name or use specific terminology, provided it clearly communicates acceptance of an agreement. Whether announcements from the listed countries represent a diplomatic agreement and whether such an agreement qualifies will be primarily determined through the announcements themselves. Where an announcement is made by all listed countries but, based on the announcements, it remains ambiguous whether the announcements represent a qualifying diplomatic agreement between the countries, this market will remain open until either i) definitive confirmation that the announcements represent a qualifying diplomatic agreement between the listed entities is achieved through further announcements from the listed countries or a consensus of credible reporting or ii) 14 calendar days (ET) have passed after the date that the last country made their first potentially qualifying announcement. If, at the end of the fourteenth calendar day, no definitive confirmation has been achieved, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Oman and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.

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