Iran-Oman Hormuz Management AgreementSeptember 14

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$422KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

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What moved the odds?

27 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESIran State TV94%match1¢-100%
Agreement between Iran, Oman on safe Hormuz routes was reached after weeks of talks.
NORussian Media94%match97¢+3%
Saudi Arabia has amended the Oman-Iran proposal on the Strait of Hormuz, Axios journalist Barak Ravid reported, citing a senior official in one of the Persian Gulf states. "Saudi Arabia made the amendments... because it feared that the proposed wording could effectively establish a new status quo in the strait that would be unacceptable to itself or to the rest of the Gulf countries," Mr. Ravid wrote on the social network X. Subscribe to Kommersant in MAX | in Telegram [in reply to: The meeting of the foreign ministers of the Persian Gulf countries scheduled for September 14 has been postponed in order to "reach a consensus," said the head of the Omani diplomatic department, Badr al-Busaidi. The parties were supposed to condemn the draft agreement between Oman and Iran on regulating shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. The minister did not specify a new date for the meeting. Subscribe to Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram]
NOWalter Bloomberg96%match98¢+2%
GULF–IRAN HORMUZ TALKS POSTPONED • • A planned September 14 meeting in Oman between Iran and Gulf states on possible Strait of Hormuz arrangements has been postponed, Omani Foreign Minister Badr Albusaidi said Sunday. • • No reason or replacement date was announced. The talks were one of the few active diplomatic channels aimed at reducing disruption around the critical oil chokepoint. • • Why markets care: the delay removes a near-term de-escalation catalyst while crude supply risks remain elevated.
YESalhadath93%match38¢-100%
Iran and Oman reach agreement on a temporary maritime corridor in the Strait of Hormuz... Source: The two sides agreed on routes for ships to enter and exit An agreement between Iran and Oman to establish a temporary maritime corridor in the Strait of Hormuz, to be signed in Salalah tomorrow Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian announced reaching an understanding with the Sultanate of Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz Tasnim News Agency quoted an Iranian source as saying that the two sides agreed on routes for ships to enter and exit The Iranian source confirmed that the Strait of Hormuz will not be reopened under the Iranian-Omani understanding The understandings stipulate the closure of the southern route, according to the source, despite the United States' insistence on its continuation
YESalarabiya93%match36¢-100%
Iran and Oman reach agreement on a temporary maritime corridor in the Strait of Hormuz... Source: The two sides agreed on routes for ships to enter and exit. ======= An agreement has been reached between Iran and Oman to establish a temporary maritime corridor in the Strait of Hormuz, to be signed in Salalah tomorrow. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian announced an understanding with the Sultanate of Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Tasnim News Agency quoted an Iranian source as saying that the two sides agreed on routes for ships to enter and exit. The Iranian source confirmed that the Strait of Hormuz will not be reopened under the Iranian-Omani understanding. The understanding stipulates the closure of the southern route, according to the source, despite the United States' insistence on its continuation.
YES47news.jp92%match28¢-100%
Iran to explain strait management on the 14th, claims agreement with Oman
YESArgus Reporter94%match33¢-100%
Some details from Iran's @MehrnewsCom earlier today on the Iran-Oman Hormuz framework that will be put to Arab Gulf ministers Monday: • • Based on intensive technical and diplomatic talks between Iran and Oman, which ultimately resulted in a final agreement in early September, the understanding between Tehran and Muscat is set to be announced soon in the presence of the foreign ministers of the Gulf countries in the region, including Iraq. • • This understanding is only between Iran and Oman. Other countries will attend the meeting only to be informed of the details of the route and traffic arrangements, so that their lack of opposition is implicitly made clear to the international community. • • An agreement has been reached between Iran and Oman about the details and specifications of the new routes entering and exiting the strait. • • According to this understanding, the route entering the Persian Gulf is completely within Iranian territorial waters, while part of the route exiting the Persian Gulf is also within Iranian territorial waters. • • Traffic on this route will be managed/ overseen by Iran. After its implementation, the southern route, which the US insisted on opening and was the main cause of the new tension, will be closed. • • The key point is that this understanding **does not in any way trigger the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. • • Iran has announced 7 conditions to the American side through intermediaries to open the Strait, and until these 7 conditions are implemented, the Strait of Hormuz will be closed. • • Therefore, the understanding between Iran and Oman does not mean the opening of the Strait of Hormuz, but it means that if the strait is to be opened, it will be opened based on this understanding, which is considered a major step towards exercising Iranian sovereignty over it. • • The opening of the Strait depends entirely on the behavior of the US side in implementing Iran's conditions.
YESBelarus State News Agency94%match26¢-100%
Iran and Oman reach agreement on shipping in Hormuz - media
NOWalter Bloomberg92%match71¢+41%
IRAN-GULF TALKS UNLIKELY TO PRODUCE HORMUZ DEAL • • Monday’s meeting between Iran and Gulf states in Oman is not expected to produce a signed agreement on the Strait of Hormuz, a senior Iranian official told Reuters. • • Tehran still wants the right to collect fees from ships transiting the strait, a demand Oman opposes. The talks come as escalating tanker attacks and regional tensions keep global oil supply risks elevated.
YESaa_arabic92%match45¢-100%
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian: Foreign ministers from Arab countries will meet in the Omani capital, Muscat, on Monday to sign an agreement establishing a joint route between Oman and Iran for navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, and to notify the International Maritime Organization of it.
YEStvalmasirah93%match25¢-100%
President Pezeshkian: Iran and Oman will sign an agreement next Monday regarding the joint route through the Strait of Hormuz, in the presence of ministers from Arab countries. The International Maritime Organization will be notified of this agreement.
YESHouthi-Linked TV93%match25¢-100%
President Pezeshkian: Iran and Oman will sign an agreement next Monday regarding the joint route through the Strait of Hormuz, in the presence of ministers from Arab countries, and the International Maritime Organization will be notified of this agreement.
YESAsharq95%match23¢-100%
Iranian President: Iran and Oman will sign an agreement on Monday regarding the joint route through the Strait of Hormuz.
YESArgus Reporter93%match26¢-100%
#Iran's president Masoud Pezeshkian: The Oman-Iran agreement on a joint route through the Strait of Hormuz will be signed on Monday in the presence of ministers from the Arab Gulf countries and then be announced to the International Maritime Organization. @IMOHQ
YESiranintlbrk92%match19¢-100%
Masoud Pezzekian: On Monday of this week, the foreign ministers of Arab countries are meeting in Muscat to sign the agreement between Oman and Iran on a common route through the Strait of Hormuz in their presence and announce it to the International Maritime Organization. The same countries from whose territory we were attacked are present at this meeting.
YESalarabiya97%match15¢-100%
The Strait of Hormuz crisis is on the verge of a breakthrough: Iran and Oman are close to reaching an agreement on a safe passage for navigation. ====== Iranian-Omani negotiations regarding the future of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz have entered their final stage, according to CBS News. Iran and Oman are expected to register an understanding with the International Maritime Organization (IMO) in the coming days regarding a temporary and safe passage for navigation. The talks focused on a mechanism for managing the movement of commercial vessels through the strait within the framework of the understanding between Tehran and Muscat. The idea of ​​imposing fees on ships transiting the strait was raised during the negotiations, a proposal that drew objections from the US government.
YESyuto_headline95%match18¢-100%
*Iran: Agreement expected within days on temporary shipping route across the Strait of Hormuz - Bloomberg *IRAN: TO REACH ACCORD ON TEMPORARY HORMUZ ROUTE IN COMING DAYS - BBG
YESaljazeera.com96%match15¢-100%
Live: What we know about Iran-Oman agreement on Hormuz route
YESAsharq96%match6¢-100%
Iran's Supreme National Security Council: The Hormuz Strait maps agreed upon with Oman will be signed in the coming days.
NORussian Media92%match94¢+6%
Oman rejected Iran's offer to jointly collect tolls for ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz, the New York Post reported, citing a senior official in the region. According to the newspaper's source, Tehran had previously offered Oman participation in collecting tolls and distributing the resulting revenues. According to the publication, Muscat's refusal allowed Oman to avoid confrontation with US President Donald Trump, who had previously threatened to "bomb Oman to hell" if the country continued negotiations with Iran over control of the Strait of Hormuz. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
NOalarabiya92%match94¢+6%
The New York Post, citing a senior regional official, reports that Oman has rejected an Iranian proposal for joint collection of fees for ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz.
NOahmadsamadi197492%match94¢+6%
Important // Oman tells Islamic Republic it opposes charging any fees from ships in Strait of Hormuz. A senior regional official told The New York Post that Muscat has not agreed to Tehran’s proposal to collect a shared service fee from commercial ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz, even if the payments are voluntary and for security and environmental services. The report also says the stance contradicts previous statements by the Revolutionary Guard Corps about reaching an agreement between Iran and Oman.
NOBelarus State News Agency93%match94¢+6%
Oman rejects deal with Iran on Strait of Hormuz tolls
NOIranian Journalist97%match94¢+6%
The New York Post reported on Thursday, September 3, citing a senior regional official, that Oman has rejected the Islamic Republic's proposal to jointly collect service fees from commercial ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz. The official said that Muscat has not even agreed to voluntarily collect fees for environmental and security services from ships. A US official also told the New York Post that the terms of the proposed agreement between the Islamic Republic and Oman on revenue sharing have not been finalized. These comments came after Hossein Mohebbi, a spokesman for the Revolutionary Guard Corps, had previously announced that Tehran and Muscat had reached an agreement in this regard. Reuters reported on August 27 that Oman had presented the Islamic Republic with a plan supported by Persian Gulf countries, under which the Strait of Hormuz would be managed regionally and shipping companies could voluntarily pay to cover the costs of navigation, environmental protection and search and rescue operations. Oman had previously opposed mandatory fees from ships passing through the waterway. @VahidOnLive @VahidOnline
NOiranintl97%match94¢+6%
The New York Post reported on Thursday, September 1, quoting a senior regional official, that Oman has rejected the Islamic Republic’s proposal to jointly collect service fees from commercial ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz. The official said that Muscat has not even agreed to voluntarily collect environmental and security services from ships. A US official also told the New York Post that the terms of the proposed agreement between the Islamic Republic and Oman on revenue sharing have not been finalized. These comments came after Hossein Mohebbi, a spokesman for the Revolutionary Guard Corps, had previously announced that Tehran and Muscat had reached an agreement in this regard. Reuters reported on August 27 that Oman had presented the Islamic Republic with a plan supported by the Persian Gulf countries, according to which the Strait of Hormuz would be managed regionally and shipping companies could voluntarily pay amounts to cover the costs of navigation, environmental protection and search and rescue operations. Oman had previously opposed the mandatory collection of fees from ships passing through this waterway.
NOiranintlbrk93%match95¢+5%
The New York Post reported on Thursday, citing a senior regional official, that Oman has rejected the Islamic Republic's proposal to jointly collect service fees from commercial ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz.
YESAl Jazeera92%match11¢-100%
Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister: We reached an understanding with Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz, but it will not be implemented until America fulfills its obligations.

Where does the news lean?

61YES15NO29neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.

Past moves on this market

Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a diplomatic agreement between Oman and Iran over traffic in the strait of Hormuz is announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A diplomatic agreement refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that establishes agreed actions, policies, obligations, or commitments between Oman and Iran. A qualifying diplomatic agreement must establish Iranian or Omani policies, obligations, or commitments aimed at managing, permitting, restoring, or increasing vessel or shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, including agreements defining vessel traffic corridors, fee collection policies, or other management policies. All listed countries must announce their acceptance of the same qualifying diplomatic agreement for the Payout Condition to be met. A joint announcement will qualify, as will separate announcements from each entity of its own acceptance of an agreement which, taken together, directly indicate that all the listed countries accepted the same agreement. Separate announcements of individual policies will not qualify if the policies are not announced as part of a diplomatic agreement. Each announcement must be a declarative statement that clearly and unambiguously communicates acceptance of an agreement. Statements that reference ongoing negotiations or a prospective agreement, or that allude to or express support for an agreement without confirming acceptance of the agreement, do not qualify. A qualifying announcement need not reference the agreement by name or use specific terminology, provided it clearly communicates acceptance of an agreement. Whether announcements from the listed countries represent a diplomatic agreement and whether such an agreement qualifies will be primarily determined through the announcements themselves. Where an announcement is made by all listed countries but, based on the announcements, it remains ambiguous whether the announcements represent a qualifying diplomatic agreement between the countries, this market will remain open until either i) definitive confirmation that the announcements represent a qualifying diplomatic agreement between the listed entities is achieved through further announcements from the listed countries or a consensus of credible reporting or ii) 14 calendar days (ET) have passed after the date that the last country made their first potentially qualifying announcement. If, at the end of the fourteenth calendar day, no definitive confirmation has been achieved, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Oman and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.

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